CRS

Carpenter Technology Corporation

73
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

CRS has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

CRS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CRS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x69x104x139x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x69x104x139x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$222-26%
Forward22x$300—
Current26x$300—
Fair38x$427+43%
Expensive50x$572+91%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRS's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CRS, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$482.18
Downside-16%$252.56

Calculated from the latest close: $299.55 on Nov 12.

CRS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails CRS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.88Q1 2024: $2.62Q2 2024: $3.70Q3 2024: $4.49Q4 2024: $5.30Q1 2025: $7.06Q2 2025: $7.42Q3 2025: $8.18Q4 2025: $8.61Q1 2026: $9.50Q2 2026: $10.52Q3 2026: $11.34Forward: $13.93
Q4 2023: $2.88Q1 2024: $2.62Q2 2024: $3.70Q3 2024: $4.49Q4 2024: $5.30Q1 2025: $7.06Q2 2025: $7.42Q3 2025: $8.18Q4 2025: $8.61Q1 2026: $9.50Q2 2026: $10.52Q3 2026: $11.34Forward: $13.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.93+23%
Q3 2026$11.34+39%
Q2 2026$10.52+42%
Q1 2026$9.50+35%
Q4 2025$8.61+62%
Q3 2025$8.18+82%
Q2 2025$7.42+101%
Q1 2025$7.06+169%
Q4 2024$5.30+84%

CRS has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

CRS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $624MQ1 2024: $685MQ2 2024: $799MQ3 2024: $718MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $756MQ3 2025: $734MQ4 2025: $728MQ1 2026: $812MQ2 2026: $851MQ3 2026: $798M
Q4 2023: $624MQ1 2024: $685MQ2 2024: $799MQ3 2024: $718MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $756MQ3 2025: $734MQ4 2025: $728MQ1 2026: $812MQ2 2026: $851MQ3 2026: $798M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$798.2M+8.8%
Q2 2026$851M+13%
Q1 2026$811.5M+12%
Q4 2025$728M+7.5%
Q3 2025$733.7M+2.2%
Q2 2025$755.6M-5.4%
Q1 2025$727M+6.1%
Q4 2024$676.9M+8.4%

CRS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $798M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over CRS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $39MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $200MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $155MQ3 2026: −$25M
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $39MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $200MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $155MQ3 2026: −$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$24.9M-$21.5M
Q2 2026$155M-23%
Q1 2026$124.8M+267%
Q4 2025$85.9M+123%
Q3 2025-$3.4M-126%
Q2 2025$200.1M+41%
Q1 2025$34M-45%
Q4 2024$38.6M+$49.4M

CRS has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

CRS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-200K shares
1 year-0.8%-400K shares
3 years+0.2%+100K shares
5 years+3.1%+1.5M shares
Available history+3.1%+1.5M shares

CRS has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

CRS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low

CRS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.0Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

CRS's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

CRS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCRSSector medianRelative
PE26x24x9.8% above
PE %225836 pts below

CRS is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.711% below
20 week MA$448.133% below
50 week MA$420.429% below
100 week MA$326.68.3% below
200 week MA$206.445% above

CRS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 45% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over CRS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.3$28.6-43%
2021$28.6$29.0+1.2%
2022$29.0$37.8+30%
2023$37.8$70.8+87%
2024$70.8$170.7+141%
2025$170.7$334.4+96%
2026 YTD$334.4$299.6-10%

CRS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +141% in 2024 to −43% in 2020. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over CRS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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