CRNC

Cerence Inc.

44
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

CRNC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over CRNC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CRNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

CRNC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CRNC PE Valuation

CRNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

CRNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Decline
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect CRNC's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

CRNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$13.18
Downside-38%$5.08

Calculated from the latest close: $8.16 on Nov 12.

CRNC trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRNC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CRNC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.40Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-6.83Q2 2024: $-13.92Q3 2024: $-14.12Q4 2024: $-15.22Q1 2025: $-8.10Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $-0.43Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.40Q2 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.82
Q3 2023: $-1.40Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-6.83Q2 2024: $-13.92Q3 2024: $-14.12Q4 2024: $-15.22Q1 2025: $-8.10Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $-0.43Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.40Q2 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82—
Q2 2026-$0.31+$0.35
Q1 2026-$0.40+$7.70
Q4 2025$0.02+$15.24
Q3 2025-$0.43+$13.69
Q2 2025-$0.66+$13.26
Q1 2025-$8.10-$1.27
Q4 2024-$15.22-$14.40
Q3 2024-$14.12-$12.72

CRNC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $15.22 at its worst in late 2024.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over CRNC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CRNC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $70M
Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $70M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$69.6M+12%
Q1 2026$64.2M-18%
Q4 2025$115.1M+126%
Q3 2025$60.6M+11%
Q2 2025$62.2M-12%
Q1 2025$78M+15%
Q4 2024$50.9M-63%
Q3 2024$54.8M-32%

CRNC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $70M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over CRNC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRNC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $10MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$801,000Q2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $20M
Q3 2023: $10MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$801,000Q2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$19.6M+22%
Q1 2026$13.6M+3.8%
Q4 2025$35.6M+352%
Q3 2025$9.7M+109%
Q2 2025$16.1M+33%
Q1 2025$13.1M+$13.9M
Q4 2024$7.9M+$11.6M
Q3 2024$4.7M-52%

CRNC generated $79M in free cash flow over the past year, up 88% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $127B over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

CRNC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48M
Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.8%+845K shares
1 year+10%+4.5M shares
3 years+18%+7.4M shares
5 years+21%+8.4M shares
Available history+31%+11.4M shares

CRNC has 48M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago, despite $8M in buybacks over the past year.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over CRNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRNC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20190.0xVery low

CRNC has more cash than debt.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

CRNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic31.1Neutral

CRNC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

CRNC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRNCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CRNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CRNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.271.3% below
20 week MA$8.625.3% below
50 week MA$9.2812% below
100 week MA$9.8717% below
200 week MA$12.937% below

CRNC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over CRNC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CRNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$105.1+401%
2021$105.1$78.9-25%
2022$78.9$18.6-76%
2023$18.6$19.7+5.9%
2024$19.7$8.49-57%
2025$8.49$11.1+30%
2026 YTD$11.1$8.16-26%

CRNC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +401% in 2020 to −76% in 2022. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over CRNC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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