CRNC

Cerence Inc.

44
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

CRNC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over CRNC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

CRNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

CRNC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

CRNC PE Valuation

CRNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Decline
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect CRNC's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over CRNC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CRNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$13.18
Downside-38%$5.08

Calculated from the latest close: $8.16 on Nov 12.

CRNC trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRNC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRNC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.40Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-6.83Q2 2024: $-13.92Q3 2024: $-14.12Q4 2024: $-15.22Q1 2025: $-8.10Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $-0.43Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.40Q2 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.82
Q3 2023: $-1.40Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-6.83Q2 2024: $-13.92Q3 2024: $-14.12Q4 2024: $-15.22Q1 2025: $-8.10Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $-0.43Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.40Q2 2026: $-0.31Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82—
Q2 2026-$0.31+$0.35
Q1 2026-$0.40+$7.70
Q4 2025$0.02+$15.24
Q3 2025-$0.43+$13.69
Q2 2025-$0.66+$13.26
Q1 2025-$8.10-$1.27
Q4 2024-$15.22-$14.40
Q3 2024-$14.12-$12.72

CRNC has the edge over INTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CRNC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $70M
Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $70M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$69.6M+12%
Q1 2026$64.2M-18%
Q4 2025$115.1M+126%
Q3 2025$60.6M+11%
Q2 2025$62.2M-12%
Q1 2025$78M+15%
Q4 2024$50.9M-63%
Q3 2024$54.8M-32%

CRNC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $70M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC has the edge over CRNC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRNC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $10MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$801,000Q2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $20M
Q3 2023: $10MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$801,000Q2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$19.6M+22%
Q1 2026$13.6M+3.8%
Q4 2025$35.6M+352%
Q3 2025$9.7M+109%
Q2 2025$16.1M+33%
Q1 2025$13.1M+$13.9M
Q4 2024$7.9M+$11.6M
Q3 2024$4.7M-52%

CRNC generated $79M in free cash flow over the past year, up 88% from the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.

CRNC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48M
Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.8%+845K shares
1 year+10%+4.5M shares
3 years+18%+7.4M shares
5 years+21%+8.4M shares
Available history+31%+11.4M shares

CRNC has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

CRNC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20190.0xVery low

CRNC has more cash than debt.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

CRNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic31.1Neutral

CRNC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

CRNC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRNCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CRNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.271.3% below
20 week MA$8.625.3% below
50 week MA$9.2812% below
100 week MA$9.8717% below
200 week MA$12.937% below

CRNC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% below its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over CRNC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CRNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$105.1+401%
2021$105.1$78.9-25%
2022$78.9$18.6-76%
2023$18.6$19.7+5.9%
2024$19.7$8.49-57%
2025$8.49$11.1+30%
2026 YTD$11.1$8.16-26%

CRNC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +401% in 2020 to −76% in 2022. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over CRNC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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