CRM
Salesforce, Inc.
CRM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SHOP
Shopify Inc.
SHOP has the edge over CRM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
CRM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
CRM's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
SHOP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CRM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 20x | $218 | — |
| Cheap | 36x | $393 | +80% |
| Fair | 70x | $766 | +252% |
| Expensive | 293x | $3,206 | +1374% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CRM has the edge over SHOP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SHOP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 67x | $147 | — |
| Cheap | 78x | $129 | -12% |
| Current | 89x | $147 | — |
| Fair | 107x | $177 | +21% |
| Expensive | 338x | $557 | +280% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.
CRM Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRM to show an outlook.
SHOP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CRM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.96 | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.63 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.80 | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.49 | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.88 | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.39 | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.36 | +51% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.08 | +131% |
CRM has the edge over SHOP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SHOP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.20 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.65 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.49 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.02 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.94 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.36 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.80 | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.24 | +$1.41 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +1633% |
SHOP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.65 over the past year, against $2.68 in late 2021.
CRM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.3B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.2B | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.3B | +8.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.2B | +9.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.8B | +7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $10B | +7.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.4B | +8.3% |
CRM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $11.3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | +3.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +2.8 points |
CRM has the edge over SHOP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SHOP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2B | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +31% |
SHOP has the edge over CRM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +3.1 points |
SHOP's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CRM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +81% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.6B | +4.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.3B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.2B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $605M | -20% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3B | +3.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.8B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | +30% |
CRM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $15.2B over the past year, up 21% from the year before.
SHOP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $654M | +55% |
| Q1 2026 | $476M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $715M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $507M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $422M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | +56% |
| Q4 2024 | $611M | +37% |
SHOP has the edge over CRM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CRM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -5.7% | -50M shares |
| 1 year | -15% | -141M shares |
| 3 years | -17% | -165M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -129M shares |
| Available history | -6.6% | -58M shares |
CRM has the edge over SHOP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $84M |
| Q2 2026 | $27.2B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.9B |
| Q4 2025 | $3.8B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $76M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B |
CRM spent $35.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
SHOP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -7.2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -22.1M shares |
| 3 years | -0.4% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | +1.1% | +14.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +130M shares |
SHOP has 1.3B diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $562M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2026 | $491M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
CRM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.0x | Very low |
CRM's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
SHOP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SHOP has the edge over CRM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CRM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.2 | Neutral |
CRM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
SHOP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.5 | Neutral |
SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
CRM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CRM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 29% below |
| PE % | 2 | 35 | 33 pts below |
CRM has the edge over SHOP on valuation relative to its sector.
SHOP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SHOP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 89x | 28x | 219% above |
| PE % | 29 | 35 | 6 pts below |
SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
CRM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $230.9 | 5.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $214.7 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $206.8 | 5.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $239.7 | 9.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $242.0 | 10% below |
CRM's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 10% below its 200-week average.
SHOP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $157.0 | 6.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $143.1 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $134.4 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.1 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.7 | 50% above |
SHOP has the edge over CRM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CRM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $165.0 | $225.8 | +37% |
| 2021 | $225.8 | $253.1 | +12% |
| 2022 | $253.1 | $129.4 | -49% |
| 2023 | $129.4 | $263.1 | +103% |
| 2024 | $263.1 | $338.5 | +29% |
| 2025 | $338.5 | $266.1 | -21% |
| 2026 YTD | $266.1 | $217.6 | -18% |
CRM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +103% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 18% so far in 2026.
SHOP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $122.6 | +200% |
| 2021 | $122.6 | $143.9 | +17% |
| 2022 | $143.9 | $33.7 | -77% |
| 2023 | $33.7 | $77.9 | +131% |
| 2024 | $77.9 | $108.2 | +39% |
| 2025 | $108.2 | $170.8 | +58% |
| 2026 YTD | $170.8 | $146.8 | -14% |
SHOP has the edge over CRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.