CRM
Salesforce, Inc.
CRM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
LITE has the edge over CRM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
CRM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
CRM's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
LITE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
CRM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 20x | $218 | — |
| Cheap | 36x | $393 | +80% |
| Fair | 70x | $766 | +252% |
| Expensive | 293x | $3,206 | +1374% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CRM's PE is in its cheap range at 20x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains.
LITE PE Valuation
LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CRM Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRM to show an outlook.
LITE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LITE, with profitability improving.
CRM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.96 | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.63 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.80 | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.49 | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.88 | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.39 | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.36 | +51% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.08 | +131% |
CRM has the edge over LITE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LITE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.10 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$89.47 | -5589% |
| Q2 2026 | -$92.96 | -25224% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.54 | +$12.02 |
| Q4 2025 | $3.40 | +$11.12 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.63 | +$9.94 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.37 | +$8.49 |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.48 | -$1.22 |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.72 | -$3.77 |
LITE has swung to a loss: it lost $89.47 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
CRM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.3B | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.2B | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.3B | +8.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.2B | +9.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.8B | +7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $10B | +7.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.4B | +8.3% |
CRM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $11.3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | +3.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +2.8 points |
CRM's operating margin was 21% last quarter, down 2.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LITE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +137% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | $808.4M | +90% |
| Q4 2025 | $665.5M | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $533.8M | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $480.7M | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $425.2M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $402.2M | +9.7% |
LITE has the edge over CRM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +27 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | +30 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | +31 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.7% | +23 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.8% | +42 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +22 points |
| Q4 2024 | -13% | +16 points |
LITE has the edge over CRM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CRM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +81% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.6B | +4.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.3B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.2B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $605M | -20% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3B | +3.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.8B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | +30% |
CRM has the edge over LITE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LITE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.9M | +$56.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $196.2M | +1843% |
| Q1 2026 | $79.1M | +$143.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $43.1M | +$59M |
| Q3 2025 | -$18.3M | +$16.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $10.1M | -7.3% |
| Q1 2025 | -$64.4M | -$37.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$15.9M | +$16.6M |
LITE's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $356M over the past year.
CRM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -5.7% | -50M shares |
| 1 year | -15% | -141M shares |
| 3 years | -17% | -165M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -129M shares |
| Available history | -6.6% | -58M shares |
CRM has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $84M |
| Q2 2026 | $27.2B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.9B |
| Q4 2025 | $3.8B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $76M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B |
CRM spent $35.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, about six times what it spent the year before.
LITE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.7% | +5.5M shares |
| 1 year | +46% | +32.1M shares |
| 3 years | +49% | +33.4M shares |
| 5 years | +31% | +24.2M shares |
| Available history | +30% | +23.7M shares |
LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $139.8M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | $35.8M |
CRM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.0x | Very low |
CRM's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
LITE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 7.9x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 21.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 22.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 27.9x | High |
| Q3 2023 | -34.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
LITE has the edge over CRM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CRM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.2 | Neutral |
CRM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
LITE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 22.8 | Neutral |
LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
CRM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CRM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 29% below |
| PE % | 2 | 35 | 33 pts below |
CRM is trading at 20x earnings, a 29% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.
LITE PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | LITE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CRM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $230.9 | 5.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $214.7 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $206.8 | 5.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $239.7 | 9.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $242.0 | 10% below |
CRM's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 10% below its 200-week average.
LITE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $839.3 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $838.6 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $732.7 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $422.7 | 48% above |
| 200 week MA | $237.9 | 163% above |
LITE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 163% above its 200-week average.
CRM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $165.0 | $225.8 | +37% |
| 2021 | $225.8 | $253.1 | +12% |
| 2022 | $253.1 | $129.4 | -49% |
| 2023 | $129.4 | $263.1 | +103% |
| 2024 | $263.1 | $338.5 | +29% |
| 2025 | $338.5 | $266.1 | -21% |
| 2026 YTD | $266.1 | $217.6 | -18% |
CRM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +103% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 18% so far in 2026.
LITE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $79.0 | $98.3 | +24% |
| 2021 | $98.3 | $104.5 | +6.3% |
| 2022 | $104.5 | $50.6 | -52% |
| 2023 | $50.6 | $52.4 | +3.7% |
| 2024 | $52.4 | $84.4 | +61% |
| 2025 | $84.4 | $390.8 | +363% |
| 2026 YTD | $390.8 | $624.7 | +60% |
LITE has the edge over CRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.