CRM

Salesforce, Inc.

67
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CRM has a slight edge over IBM overall, supported by stronger valuation.

IBM

International Business Machines Corporation

65
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IBM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

CRM's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

IBM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

CRM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x533x800x1067x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x533x800x1067x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current20x$218—
Cheap36x$393+80%
Fair70x$766+252%
Expensive293x$3,206+1374%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRM has the edge over IBM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

IBM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$194-21%
Forward19x$245—
Current21x$245—
Fair23x$274+12%
Expensive46x$538+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

CRM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRM to show an outlook.

IBM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$266.42
Downside-26%$160.73

Calculated from the latest close: $217.57 on Nov 12.

CRM trails IBM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

IBM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$307.43
Downside-15%$206.85

Calculated from the latest close: $244.67 on Nov 12.

IBM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.63Q1 2024: $4.20Q2 2024: $5.56Q3 2024: $5.75Q4 2024: $6.08Q1 2025: $6.36Q2 2025: $6.39Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $7.49Q1 2026: $7.80Q2 2026: $8.63Q3 2026: $10.96
Q4 2023: $2.63Q1 2024: $4.20Q2 2024: $5.56Q3 2024: $5.75Q4 2024: $6.08Q1 2025: $6.36Q2 2025: $6.39Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $7.49Q1 2026: $7.80Q2 2026: $8.63Q3 2026: $10.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$10.96+59%
Q2 2026$8.63+35%
Q1 2026$7.80+23%
Q4 2025$7.49+23%
Q3 2025$6.88+20%
Q2 2025$6.39+15%
Q1 2025$6.36+51%
Q4 2024$6.08+131%

CRM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $10.96 over the past year, up 59% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

IBM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.06+11%
Q3 2026$11.75+40%
Q2 2026$11.29+83%
Q1 2026$11.33+94%
Q4 2025$11.17+74%
Q3 2025$8.38+22%
Q2 2025$6.18-32%
Q1 2025$5.83-34%
Q4 2024$6.43-21%

IBM earned $11.75 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

CRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $9.3BQ2 2024: $9.1BQ3 2024: $9.3BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $9.8BQ3 2025: $10.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $11.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $11.3B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $9.3BQ2 2024: $9.1BQ3 2024: $9.3BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $9.8BQ3 2025: $10.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $11.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $11.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.3B+11%
Q2 2026$11.1B+13%
Q1 2026$11.2B+12%
Q4 2025$10.3B+8.6%
Q3 2025$10.2B+9.8%
Q2 2025$9.8B+7.6%
Q1 2025$10B+7.6%
Q4 2024$9.4B+8.3%

CRM has the edge over IBM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

IBM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$17.1B+4.7%
Q2 2026$17.2B+1.1%
Q1 2026$15.9B+9.5%
Q4 2025$19.7B+12%
Q3 2025$16.3B+9.1%
Q2 2025$17B+7.7%
Q1 2025$14.5B+0.5%
Q4 2024$17.6B+1%

IBM's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $17.1B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $6.1BQ3 2024: $755MQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $605MQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $6.1BQ3 2024: $755MQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $605MQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+81%
Q2 2026$6.6B+4.1%
Q1 2026$5.3B+39%
Q4 2025$2.2B+22%
Q3 2025$605M-20%
Q2 2025$6.3B+3.5%
Q1 2025$3.8B+17%
Q4 2024$1.8B+30%

CRM has the edge over IBM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IBM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+31%
Q2 2026$2.4B+59%
Q1 2026$4.9B+20%
Q4 2025$3.7B-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.8B+8.9%
Q2 2025$1.5B-19%
Q1 2025$4.1B+5%
Q4 2024$4B-3.3%

IBM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $14.7B over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

CRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 981MQ1 2024: 984MQ2 2024: 985MQ3 2024: 973MQ4 2024: 965MQ1 2025: 974MQ2 2025: 970MQ3 2025: 962MQ4 2025: 952MQ1 2026: 956MQ2 2026: 871MQ3 2026: 821M
Q4 2023: 981MQ1 2024: 984MQ2 2024: 985MQ3 2024: 973MQ4 2024: 965MQ1 2025: 974MQ2 2025: 970MQ3 2025: 962MQ4 2025: 952MQ1 2026: 956MQ2 2026: 871MQ3 2026: 821M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.7%-50M shares
1 year-15%-141M shares
3 years-17%-165M shares
5 years-14%-129M shares
Available history-6.6%-58M shares

CRM has the edge over IBM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IBM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+260K shares
1 year+0.5%+4.6M shares
3 years+3.2%+29.9M shares
5 years+5.3%+47.6M shares
Available history+2.1%+19.6M shares

IBM has 954M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CRM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20240.0xVery low

CRM has the edge over IBM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IBM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20255.5xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20244.4xHigh

IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

CRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.7Neutral
Stochastic44.2Neutral

CRM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

IBM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic74.8Neutral

IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

CRM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRMSector medianRelative
PE20x28x29% below
PE %23533 pts below

CRM has the edge over IBM on valuation relative to its sector.

IBM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIBMSector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %31354 pts below

IBM is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$230.95.8% below
20 week MA$214.71.3% above
50 week MA$206.85.2% above
100 week MA$239.79.2% below
200 week MA$242.010% below

CRM's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 10% below its 200-week average.

IBM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$238.62.6% above
20 week MA$239.32.2% above
50 week MA$256.64.6% below
100 week MA$258.55.3% below
200 week MA$212.315% above

IBM has the edge over CRM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$165.0$225.8+37%
2021$225.8$253.1+12%
2022$253.1$129.4-49%
2023$129.4$263.1+103%
2024$263.1$338.5+29%
2025$338.5$266.1-21%
2026 YTD$266.1$217.6-18%

CRM has the edge over IBM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IBM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$129.3$119.2-7.8%
2021$119.2$130.6+9.6%
2022$130.6$141.7+8.4%
2023$141.7$163.6+15%
2024$163.6$222.8+36%
2025$222.8$305.1+37%
2026 YTD$305.1$244.7-20%

IBM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

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