CRI

Carter's, Inc.

70
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CRI has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CRI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

CRI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CRI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current5.6x$33.87—
Cheap8.6x$51.89+53%
Forward10x$33.87—
Fair12x$74.79+121%
Expensive18x$107+215%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRI's PE is in its cheap range at 5.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CRI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over CRI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CRI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$45.45
Downside-19%$27.37

Calculated from the latest close: $33.87 on Nov 12.

CRI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails CRI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.24Q1 2024: $6.33Q2 2024: $6.45Q3 2024: $6.29Q4 2024: $5.12Q1 2025: $4.51Q2 2025: $3.76Q3 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.49Q3 2026: $5.35Q4 2026: $6.03Forward: $3.24
Q4 2023: $6.24Q1 2024: $6.33Q2 2024: $6.45Q3 2024: $6.29Q4 2024: $5.12Q1 2025: $4.51Q2 2025: $3.76Q3 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.49Q3 2026: $5.35Q4 2026: $6.03Forward: $3.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.24-46%
Q3 2026$6.03+145%
Q2 2026$5.35+42%
Q1 2026$2.49-45%
Q4 2025$2.53-51%
Q3 2025$2.46-61%
Q2 2025$3.76-42%
Q1 2025$4.51-29%
Q4 2024$5.12-18%

CRI has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

CRI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $858MQ1 2024: $661MQ2 2024: $564MQ3 2024: $758MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $630MQ2 2025: $585MQ3 2025: $758MQ1 2026: $925MQ2 2026: $681MQ3 2026: $615MQ4 2026: $752M
Q4 2023: $858MQ1 2024: $661MQ2 2024: $564MQ3 2024: $758MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $630MQ2 2025: $585MQ3 2025: $758MQ1 2026: $925MQ2 2026: $681MQ3 2026: $615MQ4 2026: $752M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$752.5M-0.7%
Q2 2026$615.5M+5.2%
Q1 2026$681.1M+8.1%
Q4 2025$925.5M+7.6%
Q3 2025$757.8M-0.1%
Q2 2025$585.3M+3.7%
Q1 2025$629.8M-4.8%
Q4 2024$859.7M+0.2%

CRI's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $752M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over CRI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: −$38MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: −$96MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: −$59MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: −$144MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: −$543,000Q3 2026: $190MQ4 2026: −$117M
Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: −$38MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: −$96MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: −$59MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: −$144MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: −$543,000Q3 2026: $190MQ4 2026: −$117M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$117.4M+$26.7M
Q2 2026$190M+688%
Q1 2026-$543K+$58.4M
Q4 2025$247.6M-8.6%
Q3 2025-$144.1M-$48.4M
Q2 2025$24.1M-77%
Q1 2025-$59M-$21.4M
Q4 2024$270.9M-11%

CRI usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$117M, but it generated $320M over the past year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over CRI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 36MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 36MQ4 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 36MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 36MQ4 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+36.1K shares
1 year+0.5%+192K shares
3 years-2.2%-806K shares
5 years-18%-7.8M shares
Available history-20%-9.1M shares

CRI has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

CRI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3xQ4 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: -0.3xQ4 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

CRI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CRI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic29.2Neutral

CRI's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CRI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCRISector medianRelative
PE5.6x18x69% below
PE %14746 pts below

CRI is trading at 5.6x earnings, a 69% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.15.5% above
20 week MA$34.72.5% below
50 week MA$35.75% below
100 week MA$36.06% below
200 week MA$52.736% below

CRI has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

CRI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$110.1$95.0-14%
2021$95.0$98.7+3.9%
2022$98.7$73.4-26%
2023$73.4$74.9+2.1%
2024$74.9$54.4-27%
2025$54.4$31.7-42%
2026 YTD$31.7$33.9+6.9%

CRI has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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