CRDO

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd

83
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

CRDO has the edge over TSM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

76
Fundamentals92/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

TSM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CRDO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CRDO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
Strong

TSM's balance sheet is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, profitability and cash flow.

CRDO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1606x3213x4819x6425x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1606x3213x4819x6425x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$140—
Current49x$140—
Cheap75x$212+52%
Fair124x$353+152%
Expensive395x$1,122+703%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRDO's PE is in its cheap range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

TSM PE Valuation

TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRDO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CRDO, with profitability improving.

TSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TSM, with profitability improving.

CRDO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+129%$319.69
Downside-32%$95.68

Calculated from the latest close: $139.81 on Nov 12.

CRDO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$508.50
Downside-18%$334.36

Calculated from the latest close: $405.49 on Nov 12.

TSM trails CRDO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRDO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.21Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.16Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $1.16Q1 2026: $1.82Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $2.84Forward: $8.35
Q4 2023: $-0.21Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.16Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $1.16Q1 2026: $1.82Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $2.84Forward: $8.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.35+194%
Q3 2026$2.84+312%
Q2 2026$2.51+766%
Q1 2026$1.82+18100%
Q4 2025$1.16+$1.31
Q3 2025$0.69+$0.85
Q2 2025$0.29+$0.47
Q1 2025$0.01+$0.24
Q4 2024-$0.15+$0.06

CRDO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.84 over the past year, about four times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

TSM Earnings Per Share

TSM and CRDO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

CRDO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $135MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $268MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $437MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $135MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $268MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $437MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$479M+115%
Q2 2026$437M+157%
Q1 2026$407M+201%
Q4 2025$268M+272%
Q3 2025$223.1M+274%
Q2 2025$170M+180%
Q1 2025$135M+154%
Q4 2024$72M+64%

CRDO's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $479M last quarter, up 115% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TSM and CRDO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

CRDO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $962,000Q3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$383,000Q2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $140MQ2 2026: $177MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $962,000Q3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$383,000Q2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $140MQ2 2026: $177MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82.9M+62%
Q2 2026$177.5M+228%
Q1 2026$139.7M+$140.1M
Q4 2025$38.5M+$50.1M
Q3 2025$51.3M+$64.4M
Q2 2025$54.2M+5531%
Q1 2025-$383K+$5.8M
Q4 2024-$11.7M-494%

CRDO has burned cash in most quarters: $439M over the past year, about five times what it generated the year before.

TSM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TSM and CRDO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

CRDO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 165MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 185MQ4 2025: 188MQ1 2026: 192MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 194M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 165MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 185MQ4 2025: 188MQ1 2026: 192MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 194M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+6.1M shares
1 year+5.3%+9.8M shares
3 years+30%+45.1M shares
5 years+39%+54.4M shares

CRDO has 194M diluted shares, up 5.3% from a year ago.

TSM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.2BQ1 2024: 5.2BQ2 2024: 5.2BQ3 2024: 5.2BQ4 2024: 5.2BQ1 2025: 5.2BQ2 2025: 5.2BQ3 2025: 5.2BQ4 2025: 5.2BQ1 2026: 5.2BQ2 2026: 5.2BQ3 2026: 5.2B
Q4 2023: 5.2BQ1 2024: 5.2BQ2 2024: 5.2BQ3 2024: 5.2BQ4 2024: 5.2BQ1 2025: 5.2BQ2 2025: 5.2BQ3 2025: 5.2BQ4 2025: 5.2BQ1 2026: 5.2BQ2 2026: 5.2BQ3 2026: 5.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+45.8K shares
1 year0%+391K shares
3 years0%+528K shares
5 years0%+324K shares
Available history0%+324K shares

TSM has the edge over CRDO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRDO Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -22.2xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q1 2025: -22.2xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-22.2xNet Cash

CRDO has the edge over TSM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TSM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

TSM has more cash than debt.

CRDO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic9.2Oversold

CRDO's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

TSM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic28.9Neutral

TSM's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

CRDO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRDOSector medianRelative
PE49x28x77% above
PE %14847 pts below

CRDO is trading at 49x earnings, a 77% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

TSM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTSMSector medianRelative
PE27x28x3.3% below
PE %453510 pts above

TSM has the edge over CRDO on valuation relative to its sector.

CRDO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.819% below
20 week MA$199.030% below
50 week MA$174.720% below
100 week MA$134.34.1% above
200 week MA$78.279% above

CRDO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 79% above its 200-week average.

TSM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$424.44.4% below
20 week MA$422.44% below
50 week MA$386.54.9% above
100 week MA$304.533% above
200 week MA$215.688% above

TSM has the edge over CRDO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CRDO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$11.2$13.0+16%
2023$13.0$19.5+50%
2024$19.5$69.3+256%
2025$69.3$144.8+109%
2026 YTD$144.8$139.8-3.5%

CRDO has finished every year since 2022 higher, and it's down 3.5% so far in 2026.

TSM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.5$106.0+81%
2021$106.0$120.7+14%
2022$120.7$74.9-38%
2023$74.9$104.0+39%
2024$104.0$201.6+94%
2025$201.6$302.8+50%
2026 YTD$302.8$405.5+34%

TSM has the edge over CRDO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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