CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
CRDO has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CRDO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CRDO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CRDO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $140 | — |
| Current | 49x | $140 | — |
| Cheap | 75x | $212 | +52% |
| Fair | 124x | $353 | +152% |
| Expensive | 395x | $1,122 | +703% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CRDO's PE is in its cheap range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CRDO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CRDO, with profitability improving.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CRDO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.35 | +194% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.84 | +312% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.51 | +766% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.82 | +18100% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.16 | +$1.31 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.69 | +$0.85 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.29 | +$0.47 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.01 | +$0.24 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.15 | +$0.06 |
CRDO has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
CRDO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $479M | +115% |
| Q2 2026 | $437M | +157% |
| Q1 2026 | $407M | +201% |
| Q4 2025 | $268M | +272% |
| Q3 2025 | $223.1M | +274% |
| Q2 2025 | $170M | +180% |
| Q1 2025 | $135M | +154% |
| Q4 2024 | $72M | +64% |
CRDO has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 36% | +16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 37% | +17 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +41 points |
| Q3 2025 | 27% | +51 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +31 points |
| Q4 2024 | -12% | +8.5 points |
CRDO has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
CRDO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82.9M | +62% |
| Q2 2026 | $177.5M | +228% |
| Q1 2026 | $139.7M | +$140.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $38.5M | +$50.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $51.3M | +$64.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $54.2M | +5531% |
| Q1 2025 | -$383K | +$5.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$11.7M | -494% |
CRDO has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
CRDO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +6.1M shares |
| 1 year | +5.3% | +9.8M shares |
| 3 years | +30% | +45.1M shares |
| 5 years | +39% | +54.4M shares |
CRDO has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $22.9M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
CRDO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -22.2x | Net Cash |
CRDO has more cash than debt.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CRDO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.2 | Oversold |
CRDO's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
CRDO PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CRDO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 49x | 28x | 77% above |
| PE % | 1 | 48 | 47 pts below |
CRDO is trading at 49x earnings, a 77% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CRDO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $171.8 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $199.0 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $174.7 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $134.3 | 4.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $78.2 | 79% above |
CRDO has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
CRDO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $11.2 | $13.0 | +16% |
| 2023 | $13.0 | $19.5 | +50% |
| 2024 | $19.5 | $69.3 | +256% |
| 2025 | $69.3 | $144.8 | +109% |
| 2026 YTD | $144.8 | $139.8 | -3.5% |
CRDO has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.