CRDO

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd

83
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

CRDO has the edge over PYPL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PYPL

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PYPL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CRDO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CRDO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PYPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PYPL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PYPL.

CRDO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1606x3213x4819x6425x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1606x3213x4819x6425x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$140—
Current49x$140—
Cheap75x$212+52%
Fair124x$353+152%
Expensive395x$1,122+703%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRDO has the edge over PYPL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PYPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.9x$58.30—
Current11x$58.30—
Cheap15x$76.16+31%
Fair26x$136+133%
Expensive67x$351+503%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PYPL's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.

CRDO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

CRDO has the edge over PYPL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

PYPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect PYPL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CRDO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+129%$319.69
Downside-32%$95.68

Calculated from the latest close: $139.81 on Nov 12.

CRDO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PYPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PYPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$76.35
Downside-16%$49.18

Calculated from the latest close: $58.30 on Nov 12.

PYPL trails CRDO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRDO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.21Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.16Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $1.16Q1 2026: $1.82Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $2.84Forward: $8.35
Q4 2023: $-0.21Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.16Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $1.16Q1 2026: $1.82Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $2.84Forward: $8.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.35+194%
Q3 2026$2.84+312%
Q2 2026$2.51+766%
Q1 2026$1.82+18100%
Q4 2025$1.16+$1.31
Q3 2025$0.69+$0.85
Q2 2025$0.29+$0.47
Q1 2025$0.01+$0.24
Q4 2024-$0.15+$0.06

CRDO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.84 over the past year, about four times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

PYPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.87+12%
Q3 2026$5.24+5.4%
Q2 2026$5.29+14%
Q1 2026$5.33+20%
Q4 2025$5.41+36%
Q3 2025$4.97+19%
Q2 2025$4.66+13%
Q1 2025$4.45+12%
Q4 2024$3.99+3.9%

PYPL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.24 over the past year, up 5.4% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

CRDO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $135MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $268MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $437MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $135MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $268MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $437MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$479M+115%
Q2 2026$437M+157%
Q1 2026$407M+201%
Q4 2025$268M+272%
Q3 2025$223.1M+274%
Q2 2025$170M+180%
Q1 2025$135M+154%
Q4 2024$72M+64%

CRDO has the edge over PYPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PYPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.6B+2%
Q2 2026$8.7B+4.8%
Q1 2026$8.4B+7.2%
Q4 2025$8.7B+3.7%
Q3 2025$8.4B+7.3%
Q2 2025$8.3B+5.1%
Q1 2025$7.8B+1.2%
Q4 2024$8.4B+4.2%

PYPL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $8.6B last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRDO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $962,000Q3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$383,000Q2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $140MQ2 2026: $177MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $962,000Q3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$383,000Q2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $140MQ2 2026: $177MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82.9M+62%
Q2 2026$177.5M+228%
Q1 2026$139.7M+$140.1M
Q4 2025$38.5M+$50.1M
Q3 2025$51.3M+$64.4M
Q2 2025$54.2M+5531%
Q1 2025-$383K+$5.8M
Q4 2024-$11.7M-494%

CRDO has the edge over PYPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PYPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-17%
Q2 2026$1.8B+157%
Q1 2026$903M-6.3%
Q4 2025$2.2B0%
Q3 2025$1.7B+19%
Q2 2025$692M-49%
Q1 2025$964M-45%
Q4 2024$2.2B-11%

PYPL's free cash flow was $6.3B over the past year, up 13% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PYPL.

CRDO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 165MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 185MQ4 2025: 188MQ1 2026: 192MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 194M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 165MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 185MQ4 2025: 188MQ1 2026: 192MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 194M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+6.1M shares
1 year+5.3%+9.8M shares
3 years+30%+45.1M shares
5 years+39%+54.4M shares

CRDO has 194M diluted shares, up 5.3% from a year ago.

PYPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-24M shares
1 year-11%-102M shares
3 years-22%-240M shares
5 years-28%-329M shares
Available history-28%-329M shares

PYPL has the edge over CRDO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRDO Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -22.2xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q1 2025: -22.2xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-22.2xNet Cash

CRDO has the edge over PYPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PYPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

PYPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PYPL.

CRDO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic9.2Oversold

CRDO's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

PYPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.2Neutral
Stochastic61.9Neutral

PYPL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

CRDO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRDOSector medianRelative
PE49x28x77% above
PE %14847 pts below

CRDO is trading at 49x earnings, a 77% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PYPL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPYPLSector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %106353 pts below

PYPL has the edge over CRDO on valuation relative to its sector.

CRDO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.819% below
20 week MA$199.030% below
50 week MA$174.720% below
100 week MA$134.34.1% above
200 week MA$78.279% above

CRDO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 79% above its 200-week average.

PYPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.53.3% above
20 week MA$55.55% above
50 week MA$51.513% above
100 week MA$61.65.4% below
200 week MA$64.59.6% below

PYPL has the edge over CRDO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CRDO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$11.2$13.0+16%
2023$13.0$19.5+50%
2024$19.5$69.3+256%
2025$69.3$144.8+109%
2026 YTD$144.8$139.8-3.5%

CRDO has finished every year since 2022 higher, and it's down 3.5% so far in 2026.

PYPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$109.4$238.6+118%
2021$238.6$192.0-20%
2022$192.0$69.0-64%
2023$69.0$61.4-11%
2024$61.4$86.9+41%
2025$86.9$60.0-31%
2026 YTD$60.0$58.3-2.8%

PYPL has the edge over CRDO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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