CRDO

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd

83
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

CRDO has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CRDO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CRDO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

CRDO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1606x3213x4819x6425x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1606x3213x4819x6425x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$140—
Current49x$140—
Cheap75x$212+52%
Fair124x$353+152%
Expensive395x$1,122+703%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRDO's PE is in its cheap range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over CRDO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CRDO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

CRDO has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRDO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+129%$319.69
Downside-32%$95.68

Calculated from the latest close: $139.81 on Nov 12.

CRDO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails CRDO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRDO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.21Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.16Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $1.16Q1 2026: $1.82Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $2.84Forward: $8.35
Q4 2023: $-0.21Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.16Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $1.16Q1 2026: $1.82Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $2.84Forward: $8.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.35+194%
Q3 2026$2.84+312%
Q2 2026$2.51+766%
Q1 2026$1.82+18100%
Q4 2025$1.16+$1.31
Q3 2025$0.69+$0.85
Q2 2025$0.29+$0.47
Q1 2025$0.01+$0.24
Q4 2024-$0.15+$0.06

CRDO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.84 over the past year, about four times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

CRDO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $135MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $268MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $437MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $135MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $268MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $437MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$479M+115%
Q2 2026$437M+157%
Q1 2026$407M+201%
Q4 2025$268M+272%
Q3 2025$223.1M+274%
Q2 2025$170M+180%
Q1 2025$135M+154%
Q4 2024$72M+64%

CRDO has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRDO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $962,000Q3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$383,000Q2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $140MQ2 2026: $177MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $962,000Q3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$383,000Q2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $140MQ2 2026: $177MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82.9M+62%
Q2 2026$177.5M+228%
Q1 2026$139.7M+$140.1M
Q4 2025$38.5M+$50.1M
Q3 2025$51.3M+$64.4M
Q2 2025$54.2M+5531%
Q1 2025-$383K+$5.8M
Q4 2024-$11.7M-494%

CRDO has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

CRDO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 165MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 185MQ4 2025: 188MQ1 2026: 192MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 194M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 165MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 185MQ4 2025: 188MQ1 2026: 192MQ2 2026: 188MQ3 2026: 194M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+6.1M shares
1 year+5.3%+9.8M shares
3 years+30%+45.1M shares
5 years+39%+54.4M shares

CRDO has 194M diluted shares, up 5.3% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over CRDO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRDO Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -22.2xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q1 2025: -22.2xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -3.5xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-22.2xNet Cash

CRDO has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CRDO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic9.2Oversold

CRDO's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

CRDO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRDOSector medianRelative
PE49x28x77% above
PE %14847 pts below

CRDO is trading at 49x earnings, a 77% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over CRDO on valuation relative to its sector.

CRDO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.819% below
20 week MA$199.030% below
50 week MA$174.720% below
100 week MA$134.34.1% above
200 week MA$78.279% above

CRDO has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

CRDO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$11.2$13.0+16%
2023$13.0$19.5+50%
2024$19.5$69.3+256%
2025$69.3$144.8+109%
2026 YTD$144.8$139.8-3.5%

CRDO has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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