CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
CRDO has the edge over IBM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
IBM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CRDO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CRDO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
IBM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
CRDO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $140 | — |
| Current | 49x | $140 | — |
| Cheap | 75x | $212 | +52% |
| Fair | 124x | $353 | +152% |
| Expensive | 395x | $1,122 | +703% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CRDO has the edge over IBM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
IBM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $194 | -21% |
| Forward | 19x | $245 | — |
| Current | 21x | $245 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $274 | +12% |
| Expensive | 46x | $538 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
CRDO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
CRDO has the edge over IBM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
IBM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
CRDO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.35 | +194% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.84 | +312% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.51 | +766% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.82 | +18100% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.16 | +$1.31 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.69 | +$0.85 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.29 | +$0.47 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.01 | +$0.24 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.15 | +$0.06 |
CRDO has the edge over IBM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IBM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.06 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.75 | +40% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.29 | +83% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.33 | +94% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.17 | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.38 | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.18 | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.83 | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.43 | -21% |
IBM earned $11.75 per share over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
CRDO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $479M | +115% |
| Q2 2026 | $437M | +157% |
| Q1 2026 | $407M | +201% |
| Q4 2025 | $268M | +272% |
| Q3 2025 | $223.1M | +274% |
| Q2 2025 | $170M | +180% |
| Q1 2025 | $135M | +154% |
| Q4 2024 | $72M | +64% |
CRDO has the edge over IBM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 36% | +16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 37% | +17 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +41 points |
| Q3 2025 | 27% | +51 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +31 points |
| Q4 2024 | -12% | +8.5 points |
CRDO has the edge over IBM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
IBM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.1B | +4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.2B | +1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.9B | +9.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.7B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.3B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $17B | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.5B | +0.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.6B | +1% |
IBM's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $17.1B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.7% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +20 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -2.8 points |
IBM's operating margin was 15% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
CRDO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82.9M | +62% |
| Q2 2026 | $177.5M | +228% |
| Q1 2026 | $139.7M | +$140.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $38.5M | +$50.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $51.3M | +$64.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $54.2M | +5531% |
| Q1 2025 | -$383K | +$5.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$11.7M | -494% |
CRDO has the edge over IBM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IBM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | +59% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.9B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | -9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | +5% |
| Q4 2024 | $4B | -3.3% |
IBM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $14.7B over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
CRDO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +6.1M shares |
| 1 year | +5.3% | +9.8M shares |
| 3 years | +30% | +45.1M shares |
| 5 years | +39% | +54.4M shares |
CRDO has 194M diluted shares, up 5.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $22.9M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
IBM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +260K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +4.6M shares |
| 3 years | +3.2% | +29.9M shares |
| 5 years | +5.3% | +47.6M shares |
| Available history | +2.1% | +19.6M shares |
IBM has the edge over CRDO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
CRDO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -22.2x | Net Cash |
CRDO has the edge over IBM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
IBM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.4x | High |
IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.
CRDO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.2 | Oversold |
CRDO's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
IBM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.8 | Neutral |
IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
CRDO PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CRDO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 49x | 28x | 77% above |
| PE % | 1 | 48 | 47 pts below |
CRDO is trading at 49x earnings, a 77% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
IBM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | IBM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 31 | 35 | 4 pts below |
IBM has the edge over CRDO on valuation relative to its sector.
CRDO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $171.8 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $199.0 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $174.7 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $134.3 | 4.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $78.2 | 79% above |
CRDO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 79% above its 200-week average.
IBM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $238.6 | 2.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $239.3 | 2.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $256.6 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $258.5 | 5.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $212.3 | 15% above |
IBM has the edge over CRDO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CRDO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $11.2 | $13.0 | +16% |
| 2023 | $13.0 | $19.5 | +50% |
| 2024 | $19.5 | $69.3 | +256% |
| 2025 | $69.3 | $144.8 | +109% |
| 2026 YTD | $144.8 | $139.8 | -3.5% |
CRDO has the edge over IBM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
IBM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $129.3 | $119.2 | -7.8% |
| 2021 | $119.2 | $130.6 | +9.6% |
| 2022 | $130.6 | $141.7 | +8.4% |
| 2023 | $141.7 | $163.6 | +15% |
| 2024 | $163.6 | $222.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $222.8 | $305.1 | +37% |
| 2026 YTD | $305.1 | $244.7 | -20% |
IBM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.