CRCL
Circle Internet Group
There isn't enough reported data to score CRCL yet.
SHOP
Shopify Inc.
SHOP's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 89x earnings, below its usual 107x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
CRCL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
CRCL's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CRCL.
SHOP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CRCL PE Valuation
CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SHOP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 67x | $147 | — |
| Cheap | 78x | $129 | -12% |
| Current | 89x | $147 | — |
| Fair | 107x | $177 | +21% |
| Expensive | 338x | $557 | +280% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.
CRCL Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRCL to show an outlook.
SHOP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CRCL Earnings Per Share
CRCL and SHOP do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
SHOP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.20 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.65 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.49 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.02 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.94 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.36 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.80 | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.24 | +$1.41 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +1633% |
SHOP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.65 over the past year, against $2.68 in late 2021.
CRCL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $864.9M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $701.3M | +6.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $694.1M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $770.2M | +77% |
| Q3 2025 | $739.8M | +66% |
| Q2 2025 | $658.1M | +53% |
| Q1 2025 | $578.6M | +58% |
CRCL has the edge over SHOP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.9% | +54 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.5% | -9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.2% | +7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | -49% | -61 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | +1.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2% | N/A |
CRCL has the edge over SHOP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SHOP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2B | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +31% |
SHOP's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.7B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +3.1 points |
SHOP's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CRCL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$35.6M | -$20.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $11.7M | -74% |
| Q4 2025 | $248.1M | +162% |
| Q3 2025 | -$14.7M | -114% |
| Q1 2025 | $44.9M | -34% |
CRCL's free cash flow was $741M over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CRCL.
SHOP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $654M | +55% |
| Q1 2026 | $476M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $715M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $507M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $422M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | +56% |
| Q4 2024 | $611M | +37% |
SHOP generated $2.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
CRCL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -861K shares |
| 1 year | +149% | +160M shares |
CRCL has 268M diluted shares, up 149% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
SHOP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -7.2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -22.1M shares |
| 3 years | -0.4% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | +1.1% | +14.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +130M shares |
SHOP has the edge over CRCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $562M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2026 | $491M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
CRCL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
CRCL has the edge over SHOP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SHOP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SHOP has more cash than debt.
CRCL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.0 | Oversold |
CRCL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
SHOP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.5 | Neutral |
SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
CRCL PE vs Financial Services Sector
CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SHOP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SHOP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 89x | 28x | 219% above |
| PE % | 29 | 35 | 6 pts below |
SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
CRCL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $78.4 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $77.1 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $84.2 | 24% below |
SHOP has stronger trend alignment. CRCL is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus SHOP above 4 of 5.
SHOP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $157.0 | 6.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $143.1 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $134.4 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.1 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.7 | 50% above |
SHOP's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 50% above its 200-week average.
CRCL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $107.7 | $81.3 | -25% |
| 2026 YTD | $81.3 | $63.8 | -21% |
CRCL has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 21% so far in 2026.
SHOP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $122.6 | +200% |
| 2021 | $122.6 | $143.9 | +17% |
| 2022 | $143.9 | $33.7 | -77% |
| 2023 | $33.7 | $77.9 | +131% |
| 2024 | $77.9 | $108.2 | +39% |
| 2025 | $108.2 | $170.8 | +58% |
| 2026 YTD | $170.8 | $146.8 | -14% |
SHOP has the edge over CRCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.