CRCL

Circle Internet Group

There isn't enough reported data to score CRCL yet.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink.

CRCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

CRCL's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CRCL.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CRCL PE Valuation

CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRCL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRCL to show an outlook.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

CRCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $63.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CRCL and RDW's risk to reward.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CRCL and RDW's risk to reward.

CRCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $-2.61Q3 2025: $-2.94
Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $-2.61Q3 2025: $-2.94

CRCL and RDW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

CRCL Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $430MQ3 2024: $446MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $694MQ2 2026: $701MQ3 2026: $865M
Q1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $430MQ3 2024: $446MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $694MQ2 2026: $701MQ3 2026: $865M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$864.9M+17%
Q2 2026$701.3M+6.6%
Q1 2026$694.1M+20%
Q4 2025$770.2M+77%
Q3 2025$739.8M+66%
Q2 2025$658.1M+53%
Q1 2025$578.6M+58%

CRCL has the edge over RDW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRCL Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: −$36M
Q1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: −$36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.6M-$20.8M
Q1 2026$11.7M-74%
Q4 2025$248.1M+162%
Q3 2025-$14.7M-114%
Q1 2025$44.9M-34%

CRCL's free cash flow was $741M over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CRCL.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

CRCL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 269MQ3 2026: 268M
Q1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 269MQ3 2026: 268M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-861K shares
1 year+149%+160M shares

CRCL has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

CRCL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2026: -5.4xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2026: -5.4xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.6xNet Cash

CRCL has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CRCL.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CRCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.1Neutral
Stochastic19.0Oversold

CRCL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CRCL PE vs Financial Services Sector

CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.419% below
20 week MA$77.117% below
50 week MA$84.224% below

RDW has stronger trend alignment. CRCL is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus RDW above 0 of 5.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

CRCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$107.7$81.3-25%
2026 YTD$81.3$63.8-21%

CRCL has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 21% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over CRCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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