CRCL

Circle Internet Group

There isn't enough reported data to score CRCL yet.

PYPL

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PYPL's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 11x earnings, less than half its usual 26x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CRCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

CRCL's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CRCL.

PYPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PYPL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PYPL.

CRCL PE Valuation

CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PYPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.9x$58.30—
Current11x$58.30—
Cheap15x$76.16+31%
Fair26x$136+133%
Expensive67x$351+503%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PYPL's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.

CRCL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRCL to show an outlook.

PYPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect PYPL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CRCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $63.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CRCL and PYPL's risk to reward.

PYPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$76.35
Downside-16%$49.18

Calculated from the latest close: $58.30 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CRCL and PYPL's risk to reward.

CRCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $-2.61Q3 2025: $-2.94
Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $-2.61Q3 2025: $-2.94

CRCL and PYPL do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

PYPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.87+12%
Q3 2026$5.24+5.4%
Q2 2026$5.29+14%
Q1 2026$5.33+20%
Q4 2025$5.41+36%
Q3 2025$4.97+19%
Q2 2025$4.66+13%
Q1 2025$4.45+12%
Q4 2024$3.99+3.9%

PYPL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.24 over the past year, up 5.4% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

CRCL Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $430MQ3 2024: $446MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $694MQ2 2026: $701MQ3 2026: $865M
Q1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $430MQ3 2024: $446MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $694MQ2 2026: $701MQ3 2026: $865M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$864.9M+17%
Q2 2026$701.3M+6.6%
Q1 2026$694.1M+20%
Q4 2025$770.2M+77%
Q3 2025$739.8M+66%
Q2 2025$658.1M+53%
Q1 2025$578.6M+58%

CRCL has the edge over PYPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PYPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.6B+2%
Q2 2026$8.7B+4.8%
Q1 2026$8.4B+7.2%
Q4 2025$8.7B+3.7%
Q3 2025$8.4B+7.3%
Q2 2025$8.3B+5.1%
Q1 2025$7.8B+1.2%
Q4 2024$8.4B+4.2%

PYPL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $8.6B last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRCL Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: −$36M
Q1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: −$36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.6M-$20.8M
Q1 2026$11.7M-74%
Q4 2025$248.1M+162%
Q3 2025-$14.7M-114%
Q1 2025$44.9M-34%

CRCL's free cash flow was $741M over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CRCL.

PYPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-17%
Q2 2026$1.8B+157%
Q1 2026$903M-6.3%
Q4 2025$2.2B0%
Q3 2025$1.7B+19%
Q2 2025$692M-49%
Q1 2025$964M-45%
Q4 2024$2.2B-11%

PYPL's free cash flow was $6.3B over the past year, up 13% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PYPL.

CRCL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 269MQ3 2026: 268M
Q1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 269MQ3 2026: 268M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-861K shares
1 year+149%+160M shares

CRCL has 268M diluted shares, up 149% from a year ago.

PYPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-24M shares
1 year-11%-102M shares
3 years-22%-240M shares
5 years-28%-329M shares
Available history-28%-329M shares

PYPL has the edge over CRCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRCL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2026: -5.4xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2026: -5.4xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.6xNet Cash

CRCL has the edge over PYPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PYPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

PYPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PYPL.

CRCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.1Neutral
Stochastic19.0Oversold

CRCL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PYPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.2Neutral
Stochastic61.9Neutral

PYPL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

CRCL PE vs Financial Services Sector

CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PYPL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPYPLSector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %106353 pts below

PYPL is trading at 11x earnings, a 15% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CRCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.419% below
20 week MA$77.117% below
50 week MA$84.224% below

PYPL has stronger trend alignment. CRCL is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus PYPL above 3 of 5.

PYPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.53.3% above
20 week MA$55.55% above
50 week MA$51.513% above
100 week MA$61.65.4% below
200 week MA$64.59.6% below

PYPL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 9.6% below its 200-week average.

CRCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$107.7$81.3-25%
2026 YTD$81.3$63.8-21%

CRCL has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 21% so far in 2026.

PYPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$109.4$238.6+118%
2021$238.6$192.0-20%
2022$192.0$69.0-64%
2023$69.0$61.4-11%
2024$61.4$86.9+41%
2025$86.9$60.0-31%
2026 YTD$60.0$58.3-2.8%

PYPL has the edge over CRCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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