CRCL

Circle Internet Group

There isn't enough reported data to score CRCL yet.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 15% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 43%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

CRCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

CRCL's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CRCL.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

CRCL PE Valuation

CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CRCL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRCL to show an outlook.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $63.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CRCL and NVO's risk to reward.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CRCL and NVO's risk to reward.

CRCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $-2.61Q3 2025: $-2.94
Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $-2.61Q3 2025: $-2.94

CRCL and NVO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

CRCL Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $430MQ3 2024: $446MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $694MQ2 2026: $701MQ3 2026: $865M
Q1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $430MQ3 2024: $446MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $694MQ2 2026: $701MQ3 2026: $865M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$864.9M+17%
Q2 2026$701.3M+6.6%
Q1 2026$694.1M+20%
Q4 2025$770.2M+77%
Q3 2025$739.8M+66%
Q2 2025$658.1M+53%
Q1 2025$578.6M+58%

CRCL has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRCL Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: −$36M
Q1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: −$36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.6M-$20.8M
Q1 2026$11.7M-74%
Q4 2025$248.1M+162%
Q3 2025-$14.7M-114%
Q1 2025$44.9M-34%

CRCL's free cash flow was $741M over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CRCL.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

CRCL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 269MQ3 2026: 268M
Q1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 269MQ3 2026: 268M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-861K shares
1 year+149%+160M shares

CRCL has 268M diluted shares, up 149% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over CRCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRCL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2026: -5.4xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2026: -5.4xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.6xNet Cash

CRCL has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CRCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.1Neutral
Stochastic19.0Oversold

CRCL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

CRCL PE vs Financial Services Sector

CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

CRCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.419% below
20 week MA$77.117% below
50 week MA$84.224% below

NVO has stronger trend alignment. CRCL is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus NVO above 1 of 5.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

CRCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$107.7$81.3-25%
2026 YTD$81.3$63.8-21%

CRCL has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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