CRCL

Circle Internet Group

There isn't enough reported data to score CRCL yet.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 18x earnings, below its usual 33x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

CRCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

CRCL's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CRCL.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

CRCL PE Valuation

CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

CRCL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRCL to show an outlook.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $63.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CRCL and NKE's risk to reward.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CRCL and NKE's risk to reward.

CRCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $-2.61Q3 2025: $-2.94
Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $-2.61Q3 2025: $-2.94

CRCL and NKE do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

CRCL Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $430MQ3 2024: $446MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $694MQ2 2026: $701MQ3 2026: $865M
Q1 2024: $365MQ2 2024: $430MQ3 2024: $446MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $658MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $770MQ1 2026: $694MQ2 2026: $701MQ3 2026: $865M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$864.9M+17%
Q2 2026$701.3M+6.6%
Q1 2026$694.1M+20%
Q4 2025$770.2M+77%
Q3 2025$739.8M+66%
Q2 2025$658.1M+53%
Q1 2025$578.6M+58%

CRCL has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRCL Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: −$36M
Q1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $108MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $516MQ3 2026: −$36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.6M-$20.8M
Q1 2026$11.7M-74%
Q4 2025$248.1M+162%
Q3 2025-$14.7M-114%
Q1 2025$44.9M-34%

CRCL's free cash flow was $741M over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CRCL.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

CRCL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 269MQ3 2026: 268M
Q1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 267MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 269MQ3 2026: 268M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-861K shares
1 year+149%+160M shares

CRCL has 268M diluted shares, up 149% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over CRCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRCL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2026: -5.4xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2024: -2.6xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2026: -5.4xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.6xNet Cash

CRCL has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CRCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.1Neutral
Stochastic19.0Oversold

CRCL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

CRCL PE vs Financial Services Sector

CRCL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CRCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.419% below
20 week MA$77.117% below
50 week MA$84.224% below

NKE has stronger trend alignment. CRCL is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus NKE above 1 of 5.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

CRCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$107.7$81.3-25%
2026 YTD$81.3$63.8-21%

CRCL has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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