CRBG

Corebridge Financial, Inc.

67
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CRBG has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CRBG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

CRBG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CRBG.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

CRBG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.7x$35.97—
Cheap7.4x$33.58-6.6%
Current8x$35.97—
Fair9.6x$43.16+20%
Expensive29x$130+262%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRBG has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

CRBG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CRBG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over CRBG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CRBG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$48.72
Downside-11%$31.95

Calculated from the latest close: $35.97 on Nov 12.

CRBG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS trails CRBG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRBG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $3.82Q2 2024: $3.23Q3 2024: $-2.07Q4 2024: $3.72Q1 2025: $1.12Q2 2025: $-0.67Q3 2025: $1.62Q4 2025: $-0.68Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $1.56Q3 2026: $4.51Forward: $5.39
Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $3.82Q2 2024: $3.23Q3 2024: $-2.07Q4 2024: $3.72Q1 2025: $1.12Q2 2025: $-0.67Q3 2025: $1.62Q4 2025: $-0.68Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $1.56Q3 2026: $4.51Forward: $5.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.39+19%
Q3 2026$4.51+178%
Q2 2026$1.56+$2.23
Q1 2026$0.40-64%
Q4 2025-$0.68-118%
Q3 2025$1.62+$3.69
Q2 2025-$0.67-121%
Q1 2025$1.12-71%
Q4 2024$3.72+118%

CRBG earned $4.51 per share over the past year, up 178% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over CRBG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRBG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $3.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $6.2B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $3.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $6.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.9B+43%
Q1 2026$4B+10%
Q4 2025$6.8B+2.2%
Q3 2025$5.4B+107%
Q2 2025$2.7B-26%
Q1 2025$3.6B-38%
Q4 2024$6.6B+97%

CRBG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $6.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over CRBG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRBG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $767MQ1 2024: $598MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $375MQ2 2025: −$259MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: $605M
Q4 2023: $767MQ1 2024: $598MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: $83MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $375MQ2 2025: −$259MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: $605M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$605M+2421%
Q2 2026-$44M+$215M
Q1 2026-$9M-102%
Q4 2025$1.9B+27%
Q3 2025$24M-71%
Q2 2025-$259M-$250M
Q1 2025$375M-37%
Q4 2024$1.5B+93%

CRBG has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CRBG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 645MQ1 2024: 625MQ2 2024: 613MQ3 2024: 587MQ4 2024: 599MQ1 2025: 558MQ2 2025: 550MQ3 2025: 541MQ4 2025: 539MQ1 2026: 474MQ2 2026: 454MQ3 2026: 447M
Q4 2023: 645MQ1 2024: 625MQ2 2024: 613MQ3 2024: 587MQ4 2024: 599MQ1 2025: 558MQ2 2025: 550MQ3 2025: 541MQ4 2025: 539MQ1 2026: 474MQ2 2026: 454MQ3 2026: 447M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-7M shares
1 year-17%-93.4M shares
3 years-30%-194M shares

CRBG has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

CRBG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 360.7xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 4.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 360.7xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025360.7xHigh
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

CRBG has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CRBG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.8Neutral
Stochastic72.5Neutral

CRBG's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

CRBG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCRBGSector medianRelative
PE8x13x39% below
PE %295728 pts below

CRBG has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CRBG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.64.1% above
20 week MA$33.47.7% above
50 week MA$30.219% above
100 week MA$31.116% above
200 week MA$27.332% above

CRBG has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

CRBG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$20.7$20.3-2.2%
2023$20.3$21.7+6.9%
2024$21.7$30.0+39%
2025$30.0$30.6+1.9%
2026 YTD$30.6$36.0+18%

CRBG has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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