CPSS

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CPSS yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CPSS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CPSS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CPSS.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

CPSS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4x$4.08-58%
Fair6.3x$6.44-34%
Current9.6x$9.77—
Expensive11x$10.91+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CPSS's PE is 9.6x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over CPSS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CPSS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CPSS to show an outlook.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

CPSS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $9.77 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CPSS and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CPSS and MS's risk to reward.

CPSS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.80Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $0.79Q1 2025: $0.79Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.80Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.92Q3 2026: $1.02
Q4 2023: $1.80Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.09Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $0.79Q1 2025: $0.79Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.80Q1 2026: $0.85Q2 2026: $0.92Q3 2026: $1.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.02+27%
Q2 2026$0.92+15%
Q1 2026$0.85+7.6%
Q4 2025$0.80+1.3%
Q3 2025$0.80-9.1%
Q2 2025$0.80-27%
Q1 2025$0.79-46%
Q4 2024$0.79-56%

CPSS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.02 over the past year, against $3.33 in late 2022.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over CPSS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CPSS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $101MQ4 2024: $105MQ1 2025: $107MQ2 2025: $110MQ3 2025: $108MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $112MQ2 2026: $121MQ3 2026: $132M
Q4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $101MQ4 2024: $105MQ1 2025: $107MQ2 2025: $110MQ3 2025: $108MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $112MQ2 2026: $121MQ3 2026: $132M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$131.9M+22%
Q2 2026$121.4M+11%
Q1 2026$112.3M+5.1%
Q4 2025$109.4M+3.9%
Q3 2025$108.4M+7.8%
Q2 2025$109.8M+14%
Q1 2025$106.9M+16%
Q4 2024$105.3M+14%

CPSS's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $132M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over CPSS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CPSS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $76MQ1 2026: $83MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $94M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $73MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $76MQ1 2026: $83MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$94.2M+11%
Q2 2026$105.9M+95%
Q1 2026$83M+13%
Q4 2025$75.7M+11%
Q3 2025$84.9M+22%
Q2 2025$54.3M+26%
Q1 2025$73.4M+40%
Q4 2024$67.9M+22%

CPSS has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CPSS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-165K shares
1 year-3%-726K shares
3 years-7.5%-1.9M shares
5 years-2.3%-559K shares

CPSS has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

CPSS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 39.2xQ1 2024: 50.2xQ2 2024: 73.6xQ3 2024: 98.1xQ4 2024: 107.5xQ1 2025: 108.4xQ2 2025: 111.2xQ3 2025: 112.6xQ4 2025: 115.4xQ1 2026: 115.7xQ2 2026: 119.1xQ3 2026: 118.9x
Q4 2023: 39.2xQ1 2024: 50.2xQ2 2024: 73.6xQ3 2024: 98.1xQ4 2024: 107.5xQ1 2025: 108.4xQ2 2025: 111.2xQ3 2025: 112.6xQ4 2025: 115.4xQ1 2026: 115.7xQ2 2026: 119.1xQ3 2026: 118.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026118.9xHigh
Q2 2026119.1xHigh
Q1 2026115.7xHigh
Q4 2025115.4xHigh
Q3 2025112.6xHigh
Q2 2025111.2xHigh
Q1 2025108.4xHigh
Q4 2024107.5xHigh

CPSS's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CPSS.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS has the edge over CPSS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CPSS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.7Neutral
Stochastic88.7Overbought

CPSS's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

CPSS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCPSSSector medianRelative
PE9.6x13x26% below
PE %72639 pts above

CPSS has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CPSS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.641.3% above
20 week MA$9.493% above
50 week MA$9.127.1% above
100 week MA$9.156.8% above
200 week MA$9.423.7% above

CPSS has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

CPSS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.37$4.24+26%
2021$4.24$8.94+111%
2022$8.94$8.53-4.6%
2023$8.53$9.37+9.8%
2024$9.37$10.5+12%
2025$10.5$9.13-13%
2026 YTD$9.13$9.77+7%

CPSS has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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