CPS

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.

48
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

CPS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over CPS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

CPS's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

CPS PE Valuation

CPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

CPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

CPS has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$25.80
Downside-29%$12.86

Calculated from the latest close: $18.18 on Nov 12.

CPS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails CPS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CPS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-11.64Q1 2024: $-5.88Q2 2024: $-8.61Q3 2024: $-9.89Q4 2024: $-4.48Q1 2025: $-2.58Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-2.17Q2 2026: $-3.13Q3 2026: $-3.83Forward: $3.44
Q4 2023: $-11.64Q1 2024: $-5.88Q2 2024: $-8.61Q3 2024: $-9.89Q4 2024: $-4.48Q1 2025: $-2.58Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-2.17Q2 2026: $-3.13Q3 2026: $-3.83Forward: $3.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.44—
Q3 2026-$3.83-304%
Q2 2026-$3.13-286%
Q1 2026-$2.17+$0.41
Q4 2025-$0.23+$4.25
Q3 2025$1.88+$11.77
Q2 2025$1.68+$10.29
Q1 2025-$2.58+$3.30
Q4 2024-$4.48+$7.16

CPS has swung to a loss: it lost $3.83 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over CPS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CPS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $676MQ2 2024: $708MQ3 2024: $685MQ4 2024: $661MQ1 2025: $667MQ2 2025: $706MQ3 2025: $696MQ4 2025: $672MQ1 2026: $686MQ2 2026: $721MQ3 2026: $709M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $676MQ2 2024: $708MQ3 2024: $685MQ4 2024: $661MQ1 2025: $667MQ2 2025: $706MQ3 2025: $696MQ4 2025: $672MQ1 2026: $686MQ2 2026: $721MQ3 2026: $709M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$708.6M+1.9%
Q2 2026$721.3M+2.2%
Q1 2026$686.4M+2.9%
Q4 2025$672.4M+1.8%
Q3 2025$695.5M+1.5%
Q2 2025$706M-0.3%
Q1 2025$667.1M-1.4%
Q3 2024$685.4M-6.9%

CPS has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CPS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$32MQ2 2025: −$23MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: −$93MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$32MQ2 2025: −$23MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: −$93MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.8M-139%
Q2 2026$16.3M+$39.7M
Q1 2026-$93.2M-$60.8M
Q4 2025$44.6M-30%
Q3 2025$27.4M+62%
Q2 2025-$23.4M-$96K
Q1 2025-$32.4M-$1.4M
Q4 2024$63.2M+1.8%

CPS has burned cash in most quarters: −$43M over the past year, against $35M the year before.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over CPS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CPS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+7.9K shares
1 year+0.7%+134K shares
3 years+2.8%+499K shares
5 years+5.6%+962K shares
Available history+4.9%+851K shares

CPS has 18M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over CPS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CPS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 7.2xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 6.4xQ3 2026: 7.3x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 7.2xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 6.4xQ3 2026: 7.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.3xHigh
Q2 20266.4xHigh
Q1 20265.5xHigh
Q4 20255.0xHigh
Q3 20254.4xHigh
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20245.4xHigh

CPS's net debt is about 7.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.4 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over CPS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.3Oversold
Stochastic7.3Oversold

CPS's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

CPS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCPSSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

CPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.411% below
20 week MA$24.626% below
50 week MA$28.937% below
100 week MA$26.130% below
200 week MA$20.411% below

CPS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over CPS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.4$36.0+11%
2021$36.0$20.8-42%
2022$20.8$6.50-69%
2023$6.50$19.5+201%
2024$19.5$13.9-29%
2025$13.9$33.1+139%
2026 YTD$33.1$18.2-45%

CPS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +201% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over CPS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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