CPRI

Capri Holdings Limited

67
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CPRI has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CPRI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

CPRI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

CPRI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.0x14x21x28x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.0x14x21x28x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8x$14.12-31%
Forward9.4x$20.38—
Current12x$20.38—
Fair13x$23.01+13%
Expensive21x$36.91+81%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CPRI's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.4x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over CPRI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CPRI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

CPRI has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CPRI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$30.34
Downside-19%$16.52

Calculated from the latest close: $20.38 on Nov 12.

CPRI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails CPRI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CPRI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.91Q1 2024: $-1.96Q2 2024: $-2.48Q3 2024: $-3.05Q4 2024: $-8.54Q1 2025: $-10.00Q2 2025: $-9.45Q3 2025: $-9.87Q4 2025: $-4.30Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $1.30Q3 2026: $1.77Forward: $2.17
Q4 2023: $1.91Q1 2024: $-1.96Q2 2024: $-2.48Q3 2024: $-3.05Q4 2024: $-8.54Q1 2025: $-10.00Q2 2025: $-9.45Q3 2025: $-9.87Q4 2025: $-4.30Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $1.30Q3 2026: $1.77Forward: $2.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.17+23%
Q3 2026$1.77+$11.64
Q2 2026$1.30+$10.75
Q1 2026$1.14+$11.14
Q4 2025-$4.30+$4.24
Q3 2025-$9.87-$6.82
Q2 2025-$9.45-$6.97
Q1 2025-$10.00-$8.04
Q4 2024-$8.54-547%

CPRI has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

CPRI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $797MQ3 2025: $856MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $796MQ2 2026: $769MQ3 2026: $809M
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $797MQ3 2025: $856MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $796MQ2 2026: $769MQ3 2026: $809M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$809M-5.5%
Q2 2026$769M-3.5%
Q1 2026$796M-23%
Q4 2025$1B-19%
Q3 2025$856M-21%
Q2 2025$797M-25%
Q1 2025$1B-15%
Q4 2024$1.3B-12%

CPRI's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $809M last quarter, down 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over CPRI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CPRI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $313MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $278MQ1 2025: −$188MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: −$65MQ4 2025: $183MQ1 2026: −$83MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $36M
Q4 2023: $313MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $278MQ1 2025: −$188MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: −$65MQ4 2025: $183MQ1 2026: −$83MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36M+$101M
Q2 2026$48M+$69M
Q1 2026-$83M+$105M
Q4 2025$183M-34%
Q3 2025-$65M-383%
Q2 2025-$21M-153%
Q1 2025-$188M-$182M
Q4 2024$278M-11%

CPRI has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

CPRI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 118MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 120MQ4 2025: 121MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 110M
Q4 2023: 118MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 120MQ4 2025: 121MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 110M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.9%-5.7M shares
1 year-7.9%-9.4M shares
3 years-6.1%-7.2M shares
5 years-28%-43.9M shares
Available history-27%-41.8M shares

CPRI has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CPRI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.9xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 3.9xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20233.9xElevated
Q3 20233.6xElevated
Q2 20232.5xModerate
Q1 20231.9xHealthy

CPRI's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.9 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over CPRI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CPRI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.5Neutral
Stochastic88.5Overbought

CPRI's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

CPRI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCPRISector medianRelative
PE12x18x36% below
PE %43474 pts below

CPRI has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CPRI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.020% above
20 week MA$16.027% above
50 week MA$19.16.9% above
100 week MA$19.54.5% above
200 week MA$30.633% below

CPRI has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

CPRI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.5$42.4+13%
2021$42.4$61.7+45%
2022$61.7$55.7-9.7%
2023$55.7$50.2-9.8%
2024$50.2$21.0-58%
2025$21.0$25.0+19%
2026 YTD$25.0$20.4-18%

CPRI has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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