CPRI
Capri Holdings Limited
CPRI has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CPRI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
CPRI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CPRI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8x | $14.12 | -31% |
| Forward | 9.4x | $20.38 | — |
| Current | 12x | $20.38 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $23.01 | +13% |
| Expensive | 21x | $36.91 | +81% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CPRI's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.4x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CPRI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect CPRI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over CPRI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
CPRI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.17 | +23% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.77 | +$11.64 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.30 | +$10.75 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.14 | +$11.14 |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.30 | +$4.24 |
| Q3 2025 | -$9.87 | -$6.82 |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.45 | -$6.97 |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.00 | -$8.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.54 | -547% |
CPRI has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
CPRI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $809M | -5.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $769M | -3.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $796M | -23% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | $856M | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $797M | -25% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | -12% |
CPRI's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $809M last quarter, down 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2% | +2.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.4% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5% | +51 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -11% | +33 points |
| Q4 2024 | -47% | -55 points |
CPRI has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over CPRI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CPRI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $36M | +$101M |
| Q2 2026 | $48M | +$69M |
| Q1 2026 | -$83M | +$105M |
| Q4 2025 | $183M | -34% |
| Q3 2025 | -$65M | -383% |
| Q2 2025 | -$21M | -153% |
| Q1 2025 | -$188M | -$182M |
| Q4 2024 | $278M | -11% |
CPRI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $184M over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over CPRI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CPRI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -4.9% | -5.7M shares |
| 1 year | -7.9% | -9.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.1% | -7.2M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -43.9M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -41.8M shares |
CPRI has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $150M |
| Q2 2026 | $54M |
| Q1 2026 | $79M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
CPRI spent $283M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
CPRI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q3 2023 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q2 2023 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2023 | 1.9x | Healthy |
CPRI's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.9 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CPRI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 88.5 | Overbought |
CPRI's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
CPRI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CPRI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 18x | 36% below |
| PE % | 43 | 47 | 4 pts below |
CPRI is trading at 12x earnings, a 36% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CPRI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $17.0 | 20% above |
| 20 week MA | $16.0 | 27% above |
| 50 week MA | $19.1 | 6.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $19.5 | 4.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.6 | 33% below |
CPRI has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
CPRI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37.5 | $42.4 | +13% |
| 2021 | $42.4 | $61.7 | +45% |
| 2022 | $61.7 | $55.7 | -9.7% |
| 2023 | $55.7 | $50.2 | -9.8% |
| 2024 | $50.2 | $21.0 | -58% |
| 2025 | $21.0 | $25.0 | +19% |
| 2026 YTD | $25.0 | $20.4 | -18% |
CPRI has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.