CPNG

Coupang, Inc.

47
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

CPNG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over CPNG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CPNG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

CPNG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CPNG PE Valuation

CPNG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 54x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CPNG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CPNG to return to profit, with revenue growing.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CPNG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$21.19
Downside-28%$11.08

Calculated from the latest close: $15.29 on Nov 12.

CPNG trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CPNG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CPNG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.75Q1 2024: $0.70Q2 2024: $0.58Q3 2024: $0.57Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $0.20Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.11Q1 2026: $-0.10Q2 2026: $-0.44Q3 2026: $-0.77Forward: $0.28
Q4 2023: $0.75Q1 2024: $0.70Q2 2024: $0.58Q3 2024: $0.57Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $0.20Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.11Q1 2026: $-0.10Q2 2026: $-0.44Q3 2026: $-0.77Forward: $0.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.28—
Q3 2026-$0.77-467%
Q2 2026-$0.44-320%
Q1 2026-$0.10-171%
Q4 2025$0.11+38%
Q3 2025$0.21-63%
Q2 2025$0.20-66%
Q1 2025$0.14-80%
Q4 2024$0.08-89%

CPNG has swung to a loss: it lost $0.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over CPNG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CPNG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.6BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $7.3BQ3 2024: $7.9BQ4 2024: $8BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $9.3BQ4 2025: $8.8BQ1 2026: $8.5BQ2 2026: $8.9BQ3 2026: $10B
Q4 2023: $6.6BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $7.3BQ3 2024: $7.9BQ4 2024: $8BQ1 2025: $7.9BQ2 2025: $8.5BQ3 2025: $9.3BQ4 2025: $8.8BQ1 2026: $8.5BQ2 2026: $8.9BQ3 2026: $10B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10B+7.5%
Q2 2026$8.9B+3.9%
Q1 2026$8.5B+7.5%
Q4 2025$8.8B+11%
Q3 2025$9.3B+18%
Q2 2025$8.5B+16%
Q1 2025$7.9B+11%
Q4 2024$8B+21%

CPNG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $10B last quarter, up 7.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over CPNG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CPNG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $376MQ1 2024: $105MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: −$46MQ4 2024: $462MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $246MQ3 2025: $439MQ4 2025: −$278MQ1 2026: −$112MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: −$72M
Q4 2023: $376MQ1 2024: $105MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: −$46MQ4 2024: $462MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $246MQ3 2025: $439MQ4 2025: −$278MQ1 2026: −$112MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: −$72M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$72M-116%
Q2 2026$50M-80%
Q1 2026-$112M-197%
Q4 2025-$278M-160%
Q3 2025$439M+$485M
Q2 2025$246M-49%
Q1 2025$115M+9.5%
Q4 2024$462M+23%

CPNG has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

CPNG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 1.8BQ2 2024: 1.8BQ3 2024: 1.8BQ4 2024: 1.8BQ1 2025: 1.8BQ2 2025: 1.9BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.8BQ2 2026: 1.8BQ3 2026: 1.8B
Q4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 1.8BQ2 2024: 1.8BQ3 2024: 1.8BQ4 2024: 1.8BQ1 2025: 1.8BQ2 2025: 1.9BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.8BQ2 2026: 1.8BQ3 2026: 1.8B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-4M shares
1 year-3.7%-69M shares
3 years-0.7%-13.3M shares
5 years+2.7%+47.7M shares
Available history+12%+195M shares

CPNG has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

CPNG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.9xQ1 2024: -6.7xQ2 2024: -8.7xQ3 2024: -8.4xQ4 2024: -5.1xQ1 2025: -5.5xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ3 2025: -4.6xQ4 2025: -4.8xQ1 2026: -6.5x
Q4 2023: -5.9xQ1 2024: -6.7xQ2 2024: -8.7xQ3 2024: -8.4xQ4 2024: -5.1xQ1 2025: -5.5xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ3 2025: -4.6xQ4 2025: -4.8xQ1 2026: -6.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-6.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-8.4xNet Cash
Q2 2024-8.7xNet Cash

CPNG has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CPNG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.7Neutral
Stochastic49.2Neutral

CPNG's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CPNG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCPNGSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

CPNG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CPNG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.74% above
20 week MA$15.72.4% below
50 week MA$18.115% below
100 week MA$22.432% below
200 week MA$20.726% below

CPNG has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

CPNG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$48.5$30.2-38%
2022$30.2$15.1-50%
2023$15.1$16.2+7%
2024$16.2$22.5+39%
2025$22.5$24.3+7.8%
2026 YTD$24.3$15.3-37%

CPNG has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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