CPHC

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation

49
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation17/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CPHC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has a slight edge over CPHC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CPHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

CPHC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

CPHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE208x416x624x831x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE208x416x624x831x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.8x$0.98-94%
Fair17x$1.66-89%
Expensive60x$5.98-62%
Current157x$15.70—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CPHC's PE is in its expensive range at 157x.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA has the edge over CPHC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CPHC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CPHC to show an outlook.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CPHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$17.08
Downside-13%$13.65

Calculated from the latest close: $15.70 on Nov 12.

CPHC trails TSLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CPHC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CPHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.13Q1 2024: $1.77Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.42Q1 2025: $0.16Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.10Q1 2026: $-0.01Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $0.10
Q4 2023: $2.13Q1 2024: $1.77Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.42Q1 2025: $0.16Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.10Q1 2026: $-0.01Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $0.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.10+$0.37
Q2 2026$0.02-33%
Q1 2026-$0.01-106%
Q4 2025-$0.10-124%
Q3 2025-$0.27-129%
Q2 2025$0.03-96%
Q1 2025$0.16-91%
Q4 2024$0.42-80%

CPHC has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

CPHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.1M+4.2%
Q2 2026$16.2M+3.2%
Q1 2026$13.5M+2.8%
Q4 2025$12.4M+3.9%
Q3 2025$18.3M-5%
Q2 2025$15.7M-3.3%
Q1 2025$13.1M-6.8%
Q4 2024$12M-4.4%

CPHC's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $19M last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over CPHC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CPHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$995,031Q1 2024: −$600,986Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$25Q4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$395,275Q4 2025: −$611,263Q1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: −$995,031Q1 2024: −$600,986Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$25Q4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$395,275Q4 2025: −$611,263Q1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.7M+$3.1M
Q2 2026$3.6M+11%
Q1 2026$2.6M+3.6%
Q4 2025-$611.3K+$6.1M
Q3 2025-$395.3K-$395.3K
Q2 2025$3.2M+78%
Q1 2025$2.5M+$3.1M
Q4 2024-$6.7M-$5.7M

CPHC has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

CPHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+54.4K shares
1 year+2.1%+107K shares
3 years+5.2%+258K shares
5 years+8.8%+422K shares
Available history+13%+601K shares

CPHC has 5M diluted shares, up 2.1% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over CPHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CPHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -2.0xQ3 2026: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -2.0xQ3 2026: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

CPHC has the edge over TSLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

CPHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.0Neutral
Stochastic70.6Neutral

CPHC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

CPHC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCPHCSector medianRelative
PE157x18x771% above
PE %924745 pts above

CPHC has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CPHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.80.3% below
20 week MA$15.80.4% below
50 week MA$15.70.3% above
100 week MA$16.97% below
200 week MA$19.519% below

CPHC's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over CPHC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CPHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.4$12.4-0.5%
2021$12.4$17.6+42%
2022$17.6$28.8+64%
2023$28.8$20.4-29%
2024$20.4$21.9+7.2%
2025$21.9$15.3-30%
2026 YTD$15.3$15.7+2.5%

CPHC has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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