CPHC

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation

49
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation17/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CPHC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over CPHC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CPHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

CPHC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

CPHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE208x416x624x831x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE208x416x624x831x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.8x$0.98-94%
Fair17x$1.66-89%
Expensive60x$5.98-62%
Current157x$15.70—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CPHC's PE is in its expensive range at 157x.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over CPHC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CPHC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CPHC to show an outlook.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CPHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$17.08
Downside-13%$13.65

Calculated from the latest close: $15.70 on Nov 12.

CPHC trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CPHC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CPHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.13Q1 2024: $1.77Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.42Q1 2025: $0.16Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.10Q1 2026: $-0.01Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $0.10
Q4 2023: $2.13Q1 2024: $1.77Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.42Q1 2025: $0.16Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.10Q1 2026: $-0.01Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $0.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.10+$0.37
Q2 2026$0.02-33%
Q1 2026-$0.01-106%
Q4 2025-$0.10-124%
Q3 2025-$0.27-129%
Q2 2025$0.03-96%
Q1 2025$0.16-91%
Q4 2024$0.42-80%

CPHC has returned to profit: it earned $0.10 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

CPHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.1M+4.2%
Q2 2026$16.2M+3.2%
Q1 2026$13.5M+2.8%
Q4 2025$12.4M+3.9%
Q3 2025$18.3M-5%
Q2 2025$15.7M-3.3%
Q1 2025$13.1M-6.8%
Q4 2024$12M-4.4%

CPHC has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CPHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$995,031Q1 2024: −$600,986Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$25Q4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$395,275Q4 2025: −$611,263Q1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: −$995,031Q1 2024: −$600,986Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$25Q4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$395,275Q4 2025: −$611,263Q1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.7M+$3.1M
Q2 2026$3.6M+11%
Q1 2026$2.6M+3.6%
Q4 2025-$611.3K+$6.1M
Q3 2025-$395.3K-$395.3K
Q2 2025$3.2M+78%
Q1 2025$2.5M+$3.1M
Q4 2024-$6.7M-$5.7M

CPHC has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

CPHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+54.4K shares
1 year+2.1%+107K shares
3 years+5.2%+258K shares
5 years+8.8%+422K shares
Available history+13%+601K shares

CPHC has 5M diluted shares, up 2.1% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over CPHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CPHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -2.0xQ3 2026: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -2.0xQ3 2026: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

CPHC has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CPHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.0Neutral
Stochastic70.6Neutral

CPHC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

CPHC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCPHCSector medianRelative
PE157x18x771% above
PE %924745 pts above

CPHC is trading at 157x earnings, a 771% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over CPHC on valuation relative to its sector.

CPHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.80.3% below
20 week MA$15.80.4% below
50 week MA$15.70.3% above
100 week MA$16.97% below
200 week MA$19.519% below

CPHC's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

CPHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.4$12.4-0.5%
2021$12.4$17.6+42%
2022$17.6$28.8+64%
2023$28.8$20.4-29%
2024$20.4$21.9+7.2%
2025$21.9$15.3-30%
2026 YTD$15.3$15.7+2.5%

CPHC has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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