CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd.
CP has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over CP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
CP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
CP's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $64.06 | -32% |
| Fair | 25x | $76.12 | -20% |
| Expensive | 29x | $87.31 | -7.7% |
| Current | 31x | $94.60 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CP's PE is 31x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CP, with profitability improving.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
CP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.04 | -5.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.02 | -4.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.15 | +8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.17 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.23 | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.15 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.90 | -1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.80 | -5.4% |
CP has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
CP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.9B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | -2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +1.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | +3.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +2.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +7.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | +2.6% |
CP's revenue is growing: $3B last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 35% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 36% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 35% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 40% | +2.1 points |
CP has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $658.7M | +126% |
| Q2 2026 | $680.5M | +58% |
| Q1 2026 | $219.3M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $517.4M | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $291.1M | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $430.3M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $312.9M | -8.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $676.3M | +51% |
CP has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
CP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.1% | -9.5M shares |
| 1 year | -3.7% | -33.8M shares |
| 3 years | -6% | -56.3M shares |
| 5 years | +31% | +208M shares |
| Available history | +26% | +181M shares |
CP has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B |
| Q2 2026 | $902M |
| Q1 2026 | $478.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $279.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $979.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $244M |
| Q4 2021 | — |
CP spent $2.7B buying back its own shares over the past year.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
CP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
CP's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 65.2 | Neutral |
CP's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
CP PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31x | 24x | 29% above |
| PE % | 91 | 58 | 33 pts above |
CP is trading at 31x earnings, a 29% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.8 | 6.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $90.4 | 4.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $84.9 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $80.3 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $79.9 | 18% above |
CP has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
CP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.4 | $68.9 | +34% |
| 2021 | $68.9 | $71.3 | +3.5% |
| 2022 | $71.3 | $75.5 | +5.9% |
| 2023 | $75.5 | $79.1 | +4.7% |
| 2024 | $79.1 | $72.6 | -8.2% |
| 2025 | $72.6 | $74.7 | +3% |
| 2026 YTD | $74.7 | $94.6 | +27% |
CP has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.