COST

Costco Wholesale Corporation

49
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

COST's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 53x earnings, above its usual 43x.

COST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Unavailable
Strong

COST's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

COST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap37x$764-30%
Fair43x$891-18%
Expensive53x$1,102+0.9%
Current53x$1,092—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COST's PE is in its expensive range at 53x.

COST Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for COST to show an outlook.

COST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$1,210.16
Downside-26%$806.64

Calculated from the latest close: $1,092.21 on Nov 12.

COST's one-year downside scenario is more than twice its upside: −26% against +11%.

COST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.67Q1 2024: $15.29Q2 2024: $16.14Q3 2024: $16.56Q4 2024: $17.02Q1 2025: $17.12Q2 2025: $17.62Q3 2025: $18.21Q4 2025: $18.67Q1 2026: $19.23Q2 2026: $19.88Q3 2026: $20.76
Q4 2023: $14.67Q1 2024: $15.29Q2 2024: $16.14Q3 2024: $16.56Q4 2024: $17.02Q1 2025: $17.12Q2 2025: $17.62Q3 2025: $18.21Q4 2025: $18.67Q1 2026: $19.23Q2 2026: $19.88Q3 2026: $20.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$20.76+14%
Q2 2026$19.88+13%
Q1 2026$19.23+12%
Q4 2025$18.67+9.7%
Q3 2025$18.21+10%
Q2 2025$17.62+9.2%
Q1 2025$17.12+12%
Q4 2024$17.02+16%

COST's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $20.76 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

COST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $57.8BQ1 2024: $58.4BQ2 2024: $58.5BQ3 2024: $79.7BQ4 2024: $62.2BQ1 2025: $63.7BQ2 2025: $63.2BQ3 2025: $86.2BQ4 2025: $67.3BQ1 2026: $69.6BQ2 2026: $70.5BQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $57.8BQ1 2024: $58.4BQ2 2024: $58.5BQ3 2024: $79.7BQ4 2024: $62.2BQ1 2025: $63.7BQ2 2025: $63.2BQ3 2025: $86.2BQ4 2025: $67.3BQ1 2026: $69.6BQ2 2026: $70.5BQ3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$70.5B+12%
Q1 2026$69.6B+9.2%
Q4 2025$67.3B+8.3%
Q3 2025$86.2B+8.1%
Q2 2025$63.2B+8%
Q1 2025$63.7B+9%
Q4 2024$62.2B+7.5%
Q3 2024$79.7B+1%

COST's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $70.5B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

COST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: −$300MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: −$300MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026$1.7B+6%
Q4 2025$3.2B+58%
Q1 2025$1.6B+$1.9B
Q4 2024$2B-45%
Q1 2024-$300M-113%
Q4 2023$3.6B+133%
Q2 2023$721M+93%
Q1 2023$2.3B+$2.6B

COST generated $8.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 41% from the year before.

COST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 444MQ1 2024: 445MQ2 2024: 445MQ3 2024: 445MQ4 2024: 445MQ1 2025: 445MQ2 2025: 445MQ3 2025: 445MQ4 2025: 445MQ1 2026: 444MQ2 2026: 444MQ3 2026: 444M
Q4 2023: 444MQ1 2024: 445MQ2 2024: 445MQ3 2024: 445MQ4 2024: 445MQ1 2025: 445MQ2 2025: 445MQ3 2025: 445MQ4 2025: 445MQ1 2026: 444MQ2 2026: 444MQ3 2026: 444M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-3K shares
1 year-0.1%-376K shares
3 years0%-25K shares
5 years0%+81K shares
Available history+0.2%+747K shares

COST has 444M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

COST Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2020-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2019-0.4xNet Cash

COST has more cash than debt.

COST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.8Overbought
Stochastic91.5Overbought

COST's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).

COST PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCOSTSector medianRelative
PE53x19x170% above
PE %801862 pts above

COST is trading at 53x earnings, a 170% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

COST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$992.610% above
20 week MA$957.714% above
50 week MA$964.913% above
100 week MA$964.113% above
200 week MA$821.633% above

COST is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

COST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$294.1$364.6+24%
2021$364.6$550.4+51%
2022$550.4$462.7-16%
2023$462.7$660.1+43%
2024$660.1$939.7+42%
2025$939.7$873.4-7.1%
2026 YTD$873.4$1,092.2+25%

COST has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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