COSO

CoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc.

52
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

COSO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over COSO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

COSO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

COSO's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COSO.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

COSO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x57x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x57x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7x$16.83-41%
Fair11x$27.04-5.5%
Forward11x$28.61—
Current12x$28.61—
Expensive22x$51.49+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COSO has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

COSO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for COSO, with profitability holding steady.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over COSO on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

COSO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$33.09
Downside-12%$25.25

Calculated from the latest close: $28.61 on Nov 12.

COSO trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than COSO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

COSO Earnings Per Share

Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.22Q3 2026: $2.39Forward: $2.49
Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.22Q3 2026: $2.39Forward: $2.49

COSO and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

COSO Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $25M
Q2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $25M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.9M+17%
Q2 2026$22.9M+15%

COSO has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

COSO Free Cash Flow

Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $100M
Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $100M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$100.1M+$106M

COSO and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

COSO Total Shares

Q2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
Q2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-76.3K shares
1 year+0.4%+46.1K shares

COSO has 12M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over COSO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COSO Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20261.7xHealthy

COSO has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

COSO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.5Neutral
Stochastic71.3Neutral

COSO's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

COSO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOSOSector medianRelative
PE12x13x8% below
PE %55638 pts below

COSO has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COSO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.44.3% above
20 week MA$27.44.6% above
50 week MA$25.911% above
100 week MA$23.522% above
200 week MA$20.142% above

COSO has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

COSO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.4$12.1-2.3%
2021$12.1$17.3+43%
2022$17.3$17.4+0.8%
2023$17.4$15.0-14%
2024$15.0$20.9+40%
2025$20.9$24.5+17%
2026 YTD$24.5$28.6+17%

COSO has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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