COSM

Cosmos Health Inc.

53
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

COSM offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over COSM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

COSM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Weak

COSM's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

COSM PE Valuation

COSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 2.1x next year's earnings.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

COSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect COSM to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

COSM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$0.39
Downside-48%$0.11

Calculated from the latest close: $0.21 on Nov 12.

COSM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails COSM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

COSM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.15Q1 2024: $-2.22Q2 2024: $-2.28Q3 2024: $-2.46Q4 2024: $-1.17Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $-1.04Q3 2025: $-0.76Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-0.66Forward: $0.10
Q4 2023: $-2.15Q1 2024: $-2.22Q2 2024: $-2.28Q3 2024: $-2.46Q4 2024: $-1.17Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $-1.04Q3 2025: $-0.76Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.66Q2 2026: $-0.66Forward: $0.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.10—
Q2 2026-$0.66+$0.38
Q1 2026-$0.66+$0.43
Q4 2025-$0.63+$0.54
Q3 2025-$0.76+$1.70
Q2 2025-$1.04+$1.24
Q1 2025-$1.09+$1.13
Q4 2024-$1.17+$0.98
Q3 2021-$11.50-454%

COSM is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.66 per share over the past year, against $25.00 at its worst in late 2019.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over COSM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COSM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $19M
Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $19M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$19M+29%
Q1 2026$17.9M+31%
Q4 2025$19.7M+39%
Q3 2025$17.1M+38%
Q2 2025$14.7M+12%
Q1 2025$13.7M-6%
Q4 2024$14.2M-10%
Q3 2024$12.4M-3.2%

COSM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $19M last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over COSM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COSM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: $905,022Q1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: $511,007Q4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$198,846Q2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: −$2M
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: $905,022Q1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: $511,007Q4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$198,846Q2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$1.8M-$549.4K
Q1 2026-$1.1M-$879.6K
Q4 2025-$4.6M-$697.9K
Q3 2025-$2.5M-583%
Q2 2025-$1.2M+$12.6K
Q1 2025-$198.8K+$3.3M
Q4 2024-$3.9M-532%
Q3 2024$511K+$5.1M

COSM has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$10M over the past year, against −$5M the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over COSM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

COSM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 60M
Q3 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+27%+12.8M shares
1 year+130%+33.9M shares
3 years+8337%+59.2M shares
5 years+11227%+59.4M shares

COSM has 60M diluted shares, up 130% from a year ago.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has the edge over COSM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COSM Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20218.5xHigh
Q4 20203.3xElevated
Q3 2020-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2020-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2020-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 20190.6xVery low

COSM's net debt is about 8.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

COSM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.5Neutral
Stochastic31.7Neutral

COSM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

COSM PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricCOSMSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

COSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

COSM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.3132% below
20 week MA$0.2722% below
50 week MA$0.3336% below
100 week MA$0.4957% below
200 week MA$1.1081% below

COSM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 81% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over COSM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COSM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$62.5$127.5+104%
2021$127.5$99.0-22%
2022$99.0$6.40-94%
2023$6.40$1.41-78%
2024$1.41$0.68-52%
2025$0.68$0.51-25%
2026 YTD$0.51$0.21-59%

COSM has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 59% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over COSM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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