COLM

Columbia Sportswear Company

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

COLM has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

COLM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

COLM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

COLM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x37x55x73x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x37x55x73x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$69.30-3.3%
Current16x$71.64—
Forward17x$71.64—
Fair18x$83.30+16%
Expensive26x$117+63%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COLM has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

COLM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for COLM, with profitability improving.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

COLM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$92.63
Downside-14%$61.92

Calculated from the latest close: $71.64 on Nov 12.

COLM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails COLM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

COLM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.09Q1 2024: $4.06Q2 2024: $3.72Q3 2024: $3.58Q4 2024: $3.82Q1 2025: $3.86Q2 2025: $3.87Q3 2025: $3.26Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.14Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $4.56Forward: $4.34
Q4 2023: $4.09Q1 2024: $4.06Q2 2024: $3.72Q3 2024: $3.58Q4 2024: $3.82Q1 2025: $3.86Q2 2025: $3.87Q3 2025: $3.26Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.14Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $4.56Forward: $4.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.34-4.8%
Q3 2026$4.56+40%
Q2 2026$3.85-0.5%
Q1 2026$3.14-19%
Q4 2025$3.24-15%
Q3 2025$3.26-8.9%
Q2 2025$3.87+4%
Q1 2025$3.86-4.9%
Q4 2024$3.82-6.6%

COLM has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

COLM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $770MQ2 2024: $570MQ3 2024: $932MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $943MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $779MQ2 2026: $614MQ3 2026: $963M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $770MQ2 2024: $570MQ3 2024: $932MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $943MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $779MQ2 2026: $614MQ3 2026: $963M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$962.6M+2%
Q2 2026$614.4M+1.5%
Q1 2026$779M+0.1%
Q4 2025$1.1B-2.4%
Q3 2025$943.4M+1.3%
Q2 2025$605.2M+6.1%
Q1 2025$778.5M+1.1%
Q4 2024$1.1B+3.5%

COLM has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

COLM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $601MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: −$199MQ4 2024: $550MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$45MQ3 2025: −$287MQ4 2025: $597MQ1 2026: −$90MQ2 2026: $102MQ3 2026: −$333M
Q4 2023: $601MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: −$199MQ4 2024: $550MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$45MQ3 2025: −$287MQ4 2025: $597MQ1 2026: −$90MQ2 2026: $102MQ3 2026: −$333M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$333M-$45.8M
Q2 2026$101.6M+$147M
Q1 2026-$90M-$42.4M
Q4 2025$596.8M+8.6%
Q3 2025-$287.2M-$87.7M
Q2 2025-$45.3M-$34.4M
Q1 2025-$47.6M-152%
Q4 2024$549.6M-8.5%

COLM usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$333M, but it generated $276M over the past year.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the edge over COLM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COLM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-318K shares
1 year-6.6%-3.6M shares
3 years-16%-10M shares
5 years-23%-15.3M shares
Available history-26%-17.5M shares

COLM has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

COLM Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash

COLM has more cash than debt.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over COLM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

COLM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.0Overbought
Stochastic92.5Overbought

COLM's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 93 (overbought).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

COLM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCOLMSector medianRelative
PE16x18x13% below
PE %214726 pts below

COLM has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

COLM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.914% above
20 week MA$61.018% above
50 week MA$60.019% above
100 week MA$62.814% above
200 week MA$71.60.1% above

COLM has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 0.1% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

COLM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$99.7$90.2-9.5%
2021$90.2$93.8+4%
2022$93.8$85.9-8.4%
2023$85.9$79.5-7.4%
2024$79.5$85.8+7.8%
2025$85.8$55.6-35%
2026 YTD$55.6$71.6+29%

COLM has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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