COLM

Columbia Sportswear Company

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

COLM has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

COLM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

COLM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

COLM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x37x55x73x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x37x55x73x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$69.30-3.3%
Current16x$71.64—
Forward17x$71.64—
Fair18x$83.30+16%
Expensive26x$117+63%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COLM's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

COLM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for COLM, with profitability improving.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

COLM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$92.63
Downside-14%$61.92

Calculated from the latest close: $71.64 on Nov 12.

COLM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails COLM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

COLM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.09Q1 2024: $4.06Q2 2024: $3.72Q3 2024: $3.58Q4 2024: $3.82Q1 2025: $3.86Q2 2025: $3.87Q3 2025: $3.26Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.14Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $4.56Forward: $4.34
Q4 2023: $4.09Q1 2024: $4.06Q2 2024: $3.72Q3 2024: $3.58Q4 2024: $3.82Q1 2025: $3.86Q2 2025: $3.87Q3 2025: $3.26Q4 2025: $3.24Q1 2026: $3.14Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $4.56Forward: $4.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.34-4.8%
Q3 2026$4.56+40%
Q2 2026$3.85-0.5%
Q1 2026$3.14-19%
Q4 2025$3.24-15%
Q3 2025$3.26-8.9%
Q2 2025$3.87+4%
Q1 2025$3.86-4.9%
Q4 2024$3.82-6.6%

COLM has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

COLM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $770MQ2 2024: $570MQ3 2024: $932MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $943MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $779MQ2 2026: $614MQ3 2026: $963M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $770MQ2 2024: $570MQ3 2024: $932MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $943MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $779MQ2 2026: $614MQ3 2026: $963M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$962.6M+2%
Q2 2026$614.4M+1.5%
Q1 2026$779M+0.1%
Q4 2025$1.1B-2.4%
Q3 2025$943.4M+1.3%
Q2 2025$605.2M+6.1%
Q1 2025$778.5M+1.1%
Q4 2024$1.1B+3.5%

COLM's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $963M last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over COLM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COLM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $601MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: −$199MQ4 2024: $550MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$45MQ3 2025: −$287MQ4 2025: $597MQ1 2026: −$90MQ2 2026: $102MQ3 2026: −$333M
Q4 2023: $601MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: −$199MQ4 2024: $550MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$45MQ3 2025: −$287MQ4 2025: $597MQ1 2026: −$90MQ2 2026: $102MQ3 2026: −$333M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$333M-$45.8M
Q2 2026$101.6M+$147M
Q1 2026-$90M-$42.4M
Q4 2025$596.8M+8.6%
Q3 2025-$287.2M-$87.7M
Q2 2025-$45.3M-$34.4M
Q1 2025-$47.6M-152%
Q4 2024$549.6M-8.5%

COLM has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

COLM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-318K shares
1 year-6.6%-3.6M shares
3 years-16%-10M shares
5 years-23%-15.3M shares
Available history-26%-17.5M shares

COLM has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

COLM Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash

COLM has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

COLM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.0Overbought
Stochastic92.5Overbought

COLM's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 93 (overbought).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

COLM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCOLMSector medianRelative
PE16x18x13% below
PE %214726 pts below

COLM is trading at 16x earnings, a 13% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

COLM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.914% above
20 week MA$61.018% above
50 week MA$60.019% above
100 week MA$62.814% above
200 week MA$71.60.1% above

COLM has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

COLM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$99.7$90.2-9.5%
2021$90.2$93.8+4%
2022$93.8$85.9-8.4%
2023$85.9$79.5-7.4%
2024$79.5$85.8+7.8%
2025$85.8$55.6-35%
2026 YTD$55.6$71.6+29%

COLM has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key