COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

STX

Seagate Technology Holdings plc

77
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

STX's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 29x earnings, above its usual 17x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

STX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$188-65%
Forward12x$545—
Fair17x$318-42%
Current29x$545—
Expensive43x$823+51%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

STX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

STX has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and STX's risk to reward.

STX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+175%$1,497.22
Downside-14%$470.41

Calculated from the latest close: $545.14 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and STX's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

STX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.51Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $5.51Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $6.77Q4 2025: $7.79Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $10.54Q3 2026: $13.90Q4 2026: $19.06Forward: $46.99
Q4 2023: $-3.51Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $5.51Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $6.77Q4 2025: $7.79Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $10.54Q3 2026: $13.90Q4 2026: $19.06Forward: $46.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.99+147%
Q3 2026$19.06+145%
Q2 2026$13.90+105%
Q1 2026$10.54+51%
Q4 2025$8.84+60%
Q3 2025$7.79+101%
Q2 2025$6.77+328%
Q1 2025$6.96+$8.26
Q4 2024$5.51+$9.02

STX has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

STX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.6BQ4 2026: $4.2B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.6BQ4 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.2B+61%
Q2 2026$3.6B+48%
Q1 2026$3.1B+44%
Q4 2025$2.8B+22%
Q3 2025$2.6B+21%
Q2 2025$2.4B+30%
Q1 2025$2.2B+31%
Q4 2024$2.3B+50%

STX has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

STX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $1.1BQ4 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $1.1BQ4 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+246%
Q2 2026$1.1B+163%
Q1 2026$953M+341%
Q4 2025$607M+305%
Q3 2025$427M+1481%
Q2 2025$425M+12%
Q1 2025$216M+69%
Q4 2024$150M+52%

STX has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over STX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 213MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 216MQ2 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 226MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 229MQ3 2026: 229MQ4 2026: 232M
Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 213MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 216MQ2 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 226MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 229MQ3 2026: 229MQ4 2026: 232M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+3M shares
1 year+2.7%+6M shares
3 years+12%+24M shares
5 years+0.4%+1M shares
Available history-12%-33M shares

STX has 232M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over STX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

STX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 66.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 66.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

STX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

STX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.5Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSTXSector medianRelative
PE29x28x2.7% above
PE %753540 pts above

STX is trading at 29x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

STX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$683.620% below
20 week MA$785.031% below
50 week MA$630.714% below
100 week MA$387.341% above
200 week MA$234.4133% above

STX has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

STX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.6$63.0+5.7%
2021$63.0$111.4+77%
2022$111.4$50.5-55%
2023$50.5$85.4+69%
2024$85.4$87.4+2.4%
2025$87.4$286.2+228%
2026 YTD$286.2$545.1+90%

STX has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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