COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

PROV

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.

50
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential8/ 100

PROV's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 18x earnings, above its usual 15x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

PROV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PROV's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PROV.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PROV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$11.99-34%
Forward13x$18.24—
Fair15x$15.03-18%
Expensive18x$18.75+2.8%
Current18x$18.24—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PROV's PE is in its expensive range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PROV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect PROV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and PROV's risk to reward.

PROV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$20.48
Downside-8%$16.78

Calculated from the latest close: $18.24 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and PROV's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

PROV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.13Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $1.09Q4 2024: $0.91Q1 2025: $0.97Q2 2025: $0.93Q3 2025: $0.90Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.92Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $1.35
Q4 2023: $1.13Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $1.06Q3 2024: $1.09Q4 2024: $0.91Q1 2025: $0.97Q2 2025: $0.93Q3 2025: $0.90Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.92Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $1.03Forward: $1.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.35+32%
Q3 2026$1.03+14%
Q2 2026$1.03+11%
Q1 2026$0.92-5.2%
Q4 2025$0.99+8.8%
Q3 2025$0.90-17%
Q2 2025$0.93-12%
Q1 2025$0.97-4.9%
Q4 2024$0.91-19%

PROV has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

PROV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.6M+8.5%
Q2 2026$10.6M+8.5%
Q1 2026$9.9M-2.4%
Q4 2025$9.8M+2.5%
Q3 2025$9.7M+2.4%
Q2 2025$9.8M-1.6%
Q1 2025$10.1M+7.6%
Q4 2024$9.6M-0.5%

PROV has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

PROV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$442,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$850,000Q3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $307,000Q1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: −$442,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$850,000Q3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $307,000Q1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3M+74%
Q2 2026$3.3M+53%
Q1 2026$1.7M-47%
Q4 2025$1M+236%
Q3 2025$2.5M+2.7%
Q2 2025$2.2M+$3M
Q1 2025$3.3M+27%
Q4 2024$307K+$749K

PROV has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

PROV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.9%-189K shares
1 year-5%-332K shares
3 years-10%-733K shares
5 years-17%-1.3M shares
Available history-18%-1.4M shares

PROV has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over PROV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PROV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.2xQ1 2024: -3.8xQ2 2024: -3.8xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -3.7xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2025: -4.3xQ3 2025: -4.0xQ4 2025: -4.1xQ1 2026: -4.4xQ2 2026: -3.6xQ3 2026: -4.1x
Q4 2023: -3.2xQ1 2024: -3.8xQ2 2024: -3.8xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -3.7xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2025: -4.3xQ3 2025: -4.0xQ4 2025: -4.1xQ1 2026: -4.4xQ2 2026: -3.6xQ3 2026: -4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.7xNet Cash

PROV has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PROV.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

PROV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.0Neutral
Stochastic45.7Neutral

PROV's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PROV PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPROVSector medianRelative
PE18x13x36% above
PE %796316 pts above

PROV is trading at 18x earnings, a 36% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

PROV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.20% above
20 week MA$18.01.1% above
50 week MA$17.16.7% above
100 week MA$16.212% above
200 week MA$14.923% above

PROV has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

PROV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.0$15.8-28%
2021$15.8$16.7+5.7%
2022$16.7$13.8-17%
2023$13.8$12.6-8.4%
2024$12.6$15.9+26%
2025$15.9$16.1+1.1%
2026 YTD$16.1$18.2+13%

PROV has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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