COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

PAX

Patria Investments Limited

43
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PAX's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 13 points to 29% and earnings per share fell 18%, though revenue grew 8.3%. At 20x earnings, it's trading below its usual 23x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

PAX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PAX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PAX.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PAX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.9x$9.18—
Cheap17x$7.80-15%
Current20x$9.18—
Fair23x$10.23+11%
Expensive29x$12.85+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAX's PE is in its fair range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.9x, in its cheap range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PAX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PAX's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and PAX's risk to reward.

PAX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$11.18
Downside-16%$7.68

Calculated from the latest close: $9.18 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and PAX's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

PAX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.80Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.77Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.45Forward: $1.33
Q3 2023: $0.80Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.77Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.45Forward: $1.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.33+196%
Q2 2026$0.45-18%
Q1 2026$0.470%
Q4 2025$0.54+10%
Q3 2025$0.69+60%
Q2 2025$0.55+1.9%
Q1 2025$0.47-39%
Q4 2024$0.49-38%
Q3 2024$0.43-46%

PAX has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

PAX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $157MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $111M
Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $157MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $111M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$111.3M+35%
Q1 2026$98.2M+23%
Q4 2025$134.4M-15%
Q3 2025$86.5M+11%
Q2 2025$82.5M+10%
Q1 2025$79.6M+25%
Q4 2024$157.2M+41%
Q3 2024$78.1M+23%

PAX has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

PAX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $36M
Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$35.5M-51%
Q1 2026$28.4M-71%
Q4 2025$32.3M+40%
Q3 2025$52.1M-22%
Q2 2025$72.9M+879%
Q1 2025$97.8M+144%
Q4 2024$23.1M-29%
Q3 2024$67M+75%

PAX's free cash flow was $148M over the past year, down 43% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PAX.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over PAX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PAX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 148MQ4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 158MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 153MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 159MQ2 2026: 160M
Q3 2023: 148MQ4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 158MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 153MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 159MQ2 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+953K shares
1 year+0.9%+1.5M shares
3 years+7.7%+11.4M shares
5 years+19%+25.6M shares
Available history+36%+42.6M shares

PAX has 160M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago, despite $69M in buybacks over the past year.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over PAX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PAX Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 2.2x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy
Q3 20241.1xHealthy

PAX's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PAX.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

PAX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.2Neutral
Stochastic8.1Oversold

PAX's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PAX PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPAXSector medianRelative
PE20x13x57% above
PE %406222 pts below

PAX is trading at 20x earnings, a 57% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

PAX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.412% below
20 week MA$10.815% below
50 week MA$12.426% below
100 week MA$12.627% below
200 week MA$13.231% below

PAX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

PAX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.9$16.5-17%
2022$16.5$13.7-17%
2023$13.7$15.5+13%
2024$15.5$11.6-25%
2025$11.6$16.2+39%
2026 YTD$16.2$9.18-43%

PAX has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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