COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

MSIF

MSC Income Fund, Inc.

51
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MSIF's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 5.7%, but revenue fell 37%. At 7.4x earnings, it's trading below its usual 8.9x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

MSIF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

MSIF's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MSIF.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSIF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7.4x$12.44—
Cheap7.8x$13.06+5%
Fair8.9x$14.90+20%
Forward8.9x$12.44—
Expensive10x$16.73+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSIF's PE is in its cheap range at 7.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.9x, in its fair range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSIF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MSIF's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MSIF's risk to reward.

MSIF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$14.86
Downside-16%$10.43

Calculated from the latest close: $12.44 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MSIF's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MSIF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.72Q1 2024: $0.72Q2 2024: $0.72Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $1.05Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $1.42Q3 2025: $1.59Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.33Q2 2026: $1.63Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $1.39
Q4 2023: $0.72Q1 2024: $0.72Q2 2024: $0.72Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $1.05Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $1.42Q3 2025: $1.59Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.33Q2 2026: $1.63Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $1.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.39-17%
Q3 2026$1.68+5.7%
Q2 2026$1.63+15%
Q1 2026$1.33+6.4%
Q4 2025$1.36+30%
Q3 2025$1.59+121%
Q2 2025$1.42+97%
Q1 2025$1.25+74%
Q4 2024$1.05+46%

MSIF has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 35% for COIN versus down 43% for MSIF.

MSIF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2022$13.1M-43%
Q3 2022$17.1M-6.1%
Q2 2022$3.7M-85%
Q1 2022$17.9M+8.9%
Q4 2021$23.1M+42%
Q3 2021$18.2M-55%
Q2 2021$24.7M+7.4%
Q4 2020$16.3M+230%

MSIF's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $13M last quarter, down 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN has the edge over MSIF on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MSIF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$31.9M+117%
Q2 2026$16.9M-49%
Q1 2026-$18.4M+$54.1M
Q4 2025-$45.5M-$30.8M
Q3 2025$14.7M-44%
Q2 2025$32.9M+$61.2M
Q1 2025-$72.5M-$60.9M
Q4 2024-$14.7M-136%

MSIF's free cash flow was −$15M over the past year, against −$40M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

MSIF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 80MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 80MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-7.9K shares
1 year-4.2%-2M shares
3 years-44%-35M shares
5 years+13%+5.4M shares
Available history+15%+5.8M shares

MSIF has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

MSIF Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20228,292.9xHigh
Q4 20218,673.8xHigh
Q3 20217,131.8xHigh
Q2 20216,517.7xHigh

MSIF's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MSIF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic61.7Neutral

MSIF's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSIF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSIFSector medianRelative
PE7.4x13x43% below
PE %72417 pts below

MSIF is trading at 7.4x earnings, a 43% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

MSIF has stronger trend alignment. COIN is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus MSIF above 3 of 3.

MSIF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.03.9% above
20 week MA$12.03.5% above
50 week MA$12.40% above

MSIF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 0% above its 50-week average.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

MSIF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$16.3$13.6-16%
2026 YTD$13.6$12.4-8.8%

MSIF has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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