COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

ICE

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ICE's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 12% and earnings per share grew 34%. At 24x earnings, it's trading below its usual 29x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

ICE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

ICE's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ICE.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ICE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$178—
Cheap22x$165-7.5%
Current24x$178—
Fair28x$209+17%
Expensive37x$271+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ICE's PE is in its cheap range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ICE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

ICE has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and ICE's risk to reward.

ICE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$205.86
Downside-11%$157.81

Calculated from the latest close: $177.86 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and ICE's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ICE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.19Q1 2024: $4.35Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $4.21Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.83Q2 2025: $5.21Q3 2025: $5.49Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $6.87Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $8.59
Q4 2023: $4.19Q1 2024: $4.35Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $4.21Q4 2024: $4.78Q1 2025: $4.83Q2 2025: $5.21Q3 2025: $5.49Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $6.87Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $8.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.59+17%
Q3 2026$7.33+34%
Q2 2026$7.08+36%
Q1 2026$6.87+42%
Q4 2025$5.77+21%
Q3 2025$5.49+30%
Q2 2025$5.21+29%
Q1 2025$4.83+11%
Q4 2024$4.78+14%

ICE has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

ICE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.6B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.6B+21%
Q2 2026$3.6B+11%
Q1 2026$3.7B+14%
Q4 2025$3.1B+3.7%
Q3 2025$3B-0.9%
Q2 2025$3.3B+13%
Q1 2025$3.2B+15%
Q4 2024$3B+14%

ICE has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

ICE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $883MQ1 2024: $951MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $819MQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $881MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $853MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $883MQ1 2024: $951MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $819MQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $881MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $853MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+23%
Q2 2026$1.9B+28%
Q1 2026$1.3B+43%
Q4 2025$1.1B-15%
Q3 2025$853M+4.2%
Q2 2025$1.4B+29%
Q1 2025$881M-7.4%
Q4 2024$1.3B+49%

ICE has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

ICE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 565MQ1 2024: 575MQ2 2024: 575MQ3 2024: 577MQ4 2024: 576MQ1 2025: 577MQ2 2025: 575MQ3 2025: 574MQ4 2025: 575MQ1 2026: 570MQ2 2026: 566MQ3 2026: 563M
Q4 2023: 565MQ1 2024: 575MQ2 2024: 575MQ3 2024: 577MQ4 2024: 576MQ1 2025: 577MQ2 2025: 575MQ3 2025: 574MQ4 2025: 575MQ1 2026: 570MQ2 2026: 566MQ3 2026: 563M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-3M shares
1 year-1.9%-11M shares
3 years-0.4%-2M shares
5 years-0.5%-3M shares
Available history-0.4%-2M shares

ICE has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over ICE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ICE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20263.0xElevated
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 20244.0xElevated

ICE's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ICE.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ICE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.5Neutral
Stochastic88.9Overbought

ICE's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ICE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricICESector medianRelative
PE24x13x86% above
PE %286335 pts below

ICE is trading at 24x earnings, a 86% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

ICE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.09.1% above
20 week MA$155.614% above
50 week MA$156.614% above
100 week MA$162.09.8% above
200 week MA$144.923% above

ICE has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

ICE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.0$112.7+21%
2021$112.7$135.8+21%
2022$135.8$102.8-24%
2023$102.8$128.4+25%
2024$128.4$150.3+17%
2025$150.3$163.5+8.8%
2026 YTD$163.5$177.9+8.8%

ICE has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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