COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

HTH

Hilltop Holdings Inc.

50
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

HTH's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew only 0.2%, but its operating margin fell 2 points to 15%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

HTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HTH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HTH.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$15.72-56%
Fair14x$34.01-5.8%
Current15x$36.10—
Forward16x$36.10—
Expensive18x$43.63+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HTH's PE is in its fair range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16x, in its expensive range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HTH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and HTH's risk to reward.

HTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$42.02
Downside-13%$31.33

Calculated from the latest close: $36.10 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and HTH's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.69Q1 2024: $1.71Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.74Q1 2025: $1.97Q2 2025: $2.23Q3 2025: $2.51Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.64Q2 2026: $2.70Q3 2026: $2.40Forward: $2.23
Q4 2023: $1.69Q1 2024: $1.71Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $1.63Q4 2024: $1.74Q1 2025: $1.97Q2 2025: $2.23Q3 2025: $2.51Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $2.64Q2 2026: $2.70Q3 2026: $2.40Forward: $2.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.23-7%
Q3 2026$2.40-4.4%
Q2 2026$2.70+21%
Q1 2026$2.64+34%
Q4 2025$2.65+52%
Q3 2025$2.51+54%
Q2 2025$2.23+28%
Q1 2025$1.97+15%
Q4 2024$1.74+3%

HTH has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

HTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $305MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $301MQ2 2026: $316MQ3 2026: $310M
Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $305MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $330MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: $301MQ2 2026: $316MQ3 2026: $310M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$309.5M-6.3%
Q2 2026$315.8M+4.1%
Q1 2026$300.5M-5.6%
Q4 2025$329.9M+9.6%
Q3 2025$330.2M+8.1%
Q2 2025$303.3M+2.1%
Q1 2025$318.5M+12%
Q4 2024$301.1M+3.7%

HTH has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN has the edge over HTH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $261MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: −$437MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$235MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: −$97MQ1 2026: −$134MQ2 2026: −$163MQ3 2026: $504M
Q4 2023: $261MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: −$437MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$235MQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: −$97MQ1 2026: −$134MQ2 2026: −$163MQ3 2026: $504M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$503.6M+86%
Q2 2026-$162.8M+$71.7M
Q1 2026-$133.9M-2757%
Q4 2025-$97M-180%
Q3 2025$271M-47%
Q2 2025-$234.6M+$202.7M
Q1 2025$5M-93%
Q4 2024$121.9M-53%

HTH's free cash flow was $110M over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HTH.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

HTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 57M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 57M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-808K shares
1 year-8.1%-5M shares
3 years-12%-8M shares
5 years-29%-23.4M shares
Available history-38%-35.3M shares

HTH has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over HTH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -6.3xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: -5.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.6xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -6.3xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: -5.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -2.6xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q4 20244.6xHigh

HTH has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HTH.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

HTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

HTH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHTHSector medianRelative
PE15x13x16% above
PE %61632 pts below

HTH is trading at 15x earnings, a 16% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

HTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.02.5% below
20 week MA$38.25.4% below
50 week MA$37.33.2% below
100 week MA$34.25.5% above
200 week MA$32.710% above

HTH has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

HTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.6$27.3+11%
2021$27.3$34.7+27%
2022$34.7$29.7-14%
2023$29.7$35.2+19%
2024$35.2$28.9-18%
2025$28.9$34.6+20%
2026 YTD$34.6$36.1+4.3%

HTH has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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