COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

HTGC

Hercules Capital, Inc.

52
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

HTGC's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 9.3%, but revenue fell 61%. At 8.4x earnings, it's trading below its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

HTGC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HTGC's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HTGC.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTGC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x114x151x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x114x151x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$13.94-12%
Forward8.2x$15.85—
Current8.4x$15.85—
Fair10x$19.30+22%
Expensive14x$25.82+63%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HTGC's PE is in its cheap range at 8.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.2x.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HTGC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect HTGC's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and HTGC's risk to reward.

HTGC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$18.77
Downside-15%$13.43

Calculated from the latest close: $15.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and HTGC's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HTGC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.61Q1 2025: $1.33Q2 2025: $1.51Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.85Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $1.88Forward: $1.93
Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $2.20Q2 2024: $1.79Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.61Q1 2025: $1.33Q2 2025: $1.51Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.85Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $1.88Forward: $1.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.93+2.8%
Q3 2026$1.88+9.3%
Q2 2026$2.03+34%
Q1 2026$1.79+35%
Q4 2025$1.85+15%
Q3 2025$1.72-15%
Q2 2025$1.51-16%
Q1 2025$1.33-40%
Q4 2024$1.61-30%

HTGC has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

HTGC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 35% for COIN versus up 52% for HTGC.

HTGC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$87.4M+52%
Q2 2022$21.7M-81%
Q1 2022$29.7M-70%
Q4 2021$40.2M-78%
Q3 2021$57.4M-23%
Q2 2021$115.3M+23%
Q1 2021$98.4M+2179%
Q4 2020$184.3M+145%

HTGC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $87M last quarter, up 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN has the edge over HTGC on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

HTGC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: −$241MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$222MQ2 2025: −$145MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$56MQ1 2026: −$231MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: −$166M
Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: −$241MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $93MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$222MQ2 2025: −$145MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$56MQ1 2026: −$231MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: −$166M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$165.6M-$162.4M
Q2 2026$297.9M+$442.8M
Q1 2026-$230.7M-$8.4M
Q4 2025-$55.6M-$26.4M
Q3 2025-$3.2M-103%
Q2 2025-$144.8M-345%
Q1 2025-$222.2M+$19M
Q4 2024-$29.2M-122%

HTGC's free cash flow was −$154M over the past year, against −$399M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HTGC.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over HTGC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HTGC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 162MQ4 2024: 162MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 191MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 189MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 200MQ3 2026: 200M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 162MQ4 2024: 162MQ1 2025: 175MQ2 2025: 191MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 189MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 200MQ3 2026: 200M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+501K shares
1 year+2.9%+5.7M shares
3 years+36%+53M shares
5 years+72%+83.8M shares
Available history+89%+94M shares

HTGC has 200M diluted shares, up 2.9% from a year ago.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

HTGC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202233.8xHigh
Q2 2022100.4xHigh
Q1 202211.9xHigh
Q4 20216.4xHigh
Q3 20213.7xElevated
Q2 20213.4xElevated
Q1 20213.6xElevated
Q4 20204.8xHigh

HTGC's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HTGC.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

HTGC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.1Neutral
Stochastic18.0Oversold

HTGC's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HTGC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHTGCSector medianRelative
PE8.4x13x35% below
PE %306333 pts below

HTGC is trading at 8.4x earnings, a 35% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

HTGC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.53.6% below
20 week MA$16.64.7% below
50 week MA$16.43.6% below
100 week MA$17.610% below
200 week MA$17.48.6% below

HTGC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 8.6% below its 200-week average.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

HTGC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.1$14.1+0.2%
2021$14.1$16.5+17%
2022$16.5$13.2-20%
2023$13.2$16.7+26%
2024$16.7$20.1+20%
2025$20.1$18.7-6.9%
2026 YTD$18.7$15.9-15%

HTGC has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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