COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

FRME

First Merchants Corporation

47
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

FRME's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 13x earnings, above its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

FRME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

FRME's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like FRME.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FRME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.5x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$28.35-31%
Forward9.7x$40.94—
Fair11x$35.18-14%
Expensive13x$41.89+2.3%
Current13x$40.94—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FRME's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FRME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FRME, with profitability holding steady.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and FRME's risk to reward.

FRME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$49.15
Downside-15%$34.86

Calculated from the latest close: $40.94 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and FRME's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

FRME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.73Q1 2024: $3.46Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.41Q1 2025: $3.55Q2 2025: $3.85Q3 2025: $3.99Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $4.21
Q4 2023: $3.73Q1 2024: $3.46Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.41Q1 2025: $3.55Q2 2025: $3.85Q3 2025: $3.99Q4 2025: $3.88Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.11Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $4.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.21+31%
Q3 2026$3.22-19%
Q2 2026$3.11-19%
Q1 2026$3.39-4.5%
Q4 2025$3.88+14%
Q3 2025$3.99+32%
Q2 2025$3.85+23%
Q1 2025$3.55+2.6%
Q4 2024$3.41-8.6%

FRME has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

FRME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $199M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $160MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $157MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $199M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$199.1M+20%
Q2 2026$196.1M+19%
Q1 2026$157.1M-2%
Q4 2025$172.2M-2.8%
Q3 2025$166.1M+6.5%
Q2 2025$164.3M+2.8%
Q1 2025$160.3M+4.3%
Q4 2024$177.1M+13%

FRME has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

FRME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $78M
Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$78.4M-10%
Q2 2026$88M+64%
Q1 2026$58.6M-5%
Q4 2025$80.7M+20%
Q3 2025$87.6M+14%
Q2 2025$53.7M-15%
Q1 2025$61.7M+4.8%
Q4 2024$67.5M-22%

FRME's free cash flow was $306M over the past year, up 13% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FRME.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over FRME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

FRME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-163K shares
1 year+8.6%+5M shares
3 years+4.9%+2.9M shares
5 years+16%+8.5M shares
Available history+12%+6.9M shares

FRME has 62M diluted shares, up 8.6% from a year ago, despite $61M in buybacks over the past year.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over FRME on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FRME Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xElevated
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated

FRME's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like FRME.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

FRME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic42.5Neutral

FRME's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FRME PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricFRMESector medianRelative
PE13x13x2.4% below
PE %796316 pts above

FRME is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

FRME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.31.6% above
20 week MA$41.71.8% below
50 week MA$40.41.3% above
100 week MA$39.73.2% above
200 week MA$36.911% above

FRME has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

FRME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.3$36.8-11%
2021$36.8$41.2+12%
2022$41.2$40.5-1.6%
2023$40.5$37.1-8.5%
2024$37.1$40.3+8.5%
2025$40.3$38.3-4.9%
2026 YTD$38.3$40.9+7%

FRME has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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