COHR

Coherent, Inc.

70
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

COHR has the edge over PYPL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

PYPL

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PYPL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

COHR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Healthy

COHR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

PYPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PYPL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PYPL.

COHR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE87x174x261x348x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE87x174x261x348x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$232—
Cheap27x$130-44%
Fair34x$165-29%
Current48x$232—
Expensive184x$886+282%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COHR's PE is in its fair range at 48x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PYPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.9x$58.30—
Current11x$58.30—
Cheap15x$76.16+31%
Fair26x$136+133%
Expensive67x$351+503%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PYPL has the edge over COHR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

COHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

COHR has the edge over PYPL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

PYPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect PYPL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

COHR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+138%$551.66
Downside-19%$187.45

Calculated from the latest close: $232.08 on Nov 12.

COHR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PYPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PYPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$76.35
Downside-16%$49.18

Calculated from the latest close: $58.30 on Nov 12.

PYPL trails COHR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

COHR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.82Q1 2024: $-2.87Q2 2024: $-1.84Q3 2024: $-1.23Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $0.71Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.83Forward: $11.69
Q4 2023: $-2.82Q1 2024: $-2.87Q2 2024: $-1.84Q3 2024: $-1.23Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $0.71Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.83Forward: $11.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.69+142%
Q3 2026$4.83+580%
Q2 2026$4.12+$4.64
Q1 2026$2.11+$2.34
Q4 2025$1.03+$1.44
Q3 2025$0.71+$1.94
Q2 2025-$0.52+$1.32
Q1 2025-$0.23+$2.64
Q4 2024-$0.41+$2.41

COHR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.83 over the past year, about seven times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

PYPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.87+12%
Q3 2026$5.24+5.4%
Q2 2026$5.29+14%
Q1 2026$5.33+20%
Q4 2025$5.41+36%
Q3 2025$4.97+19%
Q2 2025$4.66+13%
Q1 2025$4.45+12%
Q4 2024$3.99+3.9%

PYPL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.24 over the past year, up 5.4% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

COHR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+50%
Q2 2026$2B+34%
Q1 2026$1.8B+21%
Q4 2025$1.7B+17%
Q3 2025$1.6B+17%
Q2 2025$1.5B+16%
Q1 2025$1.5B+24%
Q4 2024$1.4B+27%

COHR has the edge over PYPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PYPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.6B+2%
Q2 2026$8.7B+4.8%
Q1 2026$8.4B+7.2%
Q4 2025$8.7B+3.7%
Q3 2025$8.4B+7.3%
Q2 2025$8.3B+5.1%
Q1 2025$7.8B+1.2%
Q4 2024$8.4B+4.2%

PYPL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $8.6B last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

COHR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: −$96MQ1 2026: −$383MQ2 2026: −$486MQ3 2026: −$868M
Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: −$96MQ1 2026: −$383MQ2 2026: −$486MQ3 2026: −$868M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$868.2M-$810.2M
Q2 2026-$486.2M-$485.2M
Q1 2026-$383.5M-850%
Q4 2025-$95.7M-217%
Q3 2025-$58M-195%
Q2 2025-$1.1M-102%
Q1 2025$51.1M+111%
Q4 2024$81.7M+$106M

COHR's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$1.8B over the past year.

PYPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-17%
Q2 2026$1.8B+157%
Q1 2026$903M-6.3%
Q4 2025$2.2B0%
Q3 2025$1.7B+19%
Q2 2025$692M-49%
Q1 2025$964M-45%
Q4 2024$2.2B-11%

PYPL has the edge over COHR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

COHR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 155MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 193MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 155MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 193MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+6.6M shares
1 year+5.9%+11.3M shares
3 years+34%+51.7M shares
5 years+74%+86.2M shares
Available history+122%+111M shares

COHR has 202M diluted shares, up 5.9% from a year ago.

PYPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-24M shares
1 year-11%-102M shares
3 years-22%-240M shares
5 years-28%-329M shares
Available history-28%-329M shares

PYPL has the edge over COHR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COHR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 4.8xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 4.8xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20258.1xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

COHR's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.1 years a year ago.

PYPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

PYPL has the edge over COHR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

COHR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic16.5Oversold

COHR's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

PYPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.2Neutral
Stochastic61.9Neutral

PYPL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

COHR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCOHRSector medianRelative
PE48x28x72% above
PE %583523 pts above

COHR is trading at 48x earnings, a 72% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PYPL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPYPLSector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %106353 pts below

PYPL has the edge over COHR on valuation relative to its sector.

COHR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$252.98.2% below
20 week MA$284.118% below
50 week MA$277.716% below
100 week MA$185.925% above
200 week MA$120.692% above

COHR has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 92% above its 200-week average.

PYPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.53.3% above
20 week MA$55.55% above
50 week MA$51.513% above
100 week MA$61.65.4% below
200 week MA$64.59.6% below

PYPL has the edge over COHR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COHR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$77.8+132%
2021$77.8$68.0-13%
2022$68.0$33.1-51%
2023$33.1$43.5+32%
2024$43.5$97.0+123%
2025$97.0$191.7+98%
2026 YTD$191.7$232.1+21%

COHR has the edge over PYPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PYPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$109.4$238.6+118%
2021$238.6$192.0-20%
2022$192.0$69.0-64%
2023$69.0$61.4-11%
2024$61.4$86.9+41%
2025$86.9$60.0-31%
2026 YTD$60.0$58.3-2.8%

PYPL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +118% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 2.8% so far in 2026.

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