COHR

Coherent, Inc.

70
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

COHR has the edge over ORCL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

ORCL

Oracle Corporation

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ORCL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

COHR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Healthy

COHR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

ORCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Strong

ORCL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

COHR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE87x174x261x348x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE87x174x261x348x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$232—
Cheap27x$130-44%
Fair34x$165-29%
Current48x$232—
Expensive184x$886+282%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COHR's PE is in its fair range at 48x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ORCL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$127—
Cheap19x$119-6.8%
Current20x$127—
Fair30x$189+49%
Expensive39x$247+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORCL has the edge over COHR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

COHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

COHR has the edge over ORCL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ORCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ORCL, but weaker profitability.

COHR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+138%$551.66
Downside-19%$187.45

Calculated from the latest close: $232.08 on Nov 12.

COHR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ORCL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ORCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$192.98
Downside-19%$102.46

Calculated from the latest close: $127.11 on Nov 12.

ORCL trails COHR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

COHR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.82Q1 2024: $-2.87Q2 2024: $-1.84Q3 2024: $-1.23Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $0.71Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.83Forward: $11.69
Q4 2023: $-2.82Q1 2024: $-2.87Q2 2024: $-1.84Q3 2024: $-1.23Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $0.71Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.83Forward: $11.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.69+142%
Q3 2026$4.83+580%
Q2 2026$4.12+$4.64
Q1 2026$2.11+$2.34
Q4 2025$1.03+$1.44
Q3 2025$0.71+$1.94
Q2 2025-$0.52+$1.32
Q1 2025-$0.23+$2.64
Q4 2024-$0.41+$2.41

COHR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.83 over the past year, about seven times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

ORCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.53+34%
Q3 2026$6.38+48%
Q2 2026$5.83+34%
Q1 2026$5.57+31%
Q4 2025$5.32+30%
Q3 2025$4.32+11%
Q2 2025$4.34+17%
Q1 2025$4.26+12%
Q4 2024$4.09+13%

ORCL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $6.38 over the past year, up 48% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

COHR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+50%
Q2 2026$2B+34%
Q1 2026$1.8B+21%
Q4 2025$1.7B+17%
Q3 2025$1.6B+17%
Q2 2025$1.5B+16%
Q1 2025$1.5B+24%
Q4 2024$1.4B+27%

COHR has the edge over ORCL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ORCL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.3B+30%
Q2 2026$19.2B+21%
Q1 2026$17.2B+22%
Q4 2025$16.1B+14%
Q3 2025$14.9B+12%
Q2 2025$15.9B+11%
Q1 2025$14.1B+6.4%
Q4 2024$14.1B+8.6%

ORCL's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $19.3B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

COHR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: −$96MQ1 2026: −$383MQ2 2026: −$486MQ3 2026: −$868M
Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: −$96MQ1 2026: −$383MQ2 2026: −$486MQ3 2026: −$868M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$868.2M-$810.2M
Q2 2026-$486.2M-$485.2M
Q1 2026-$383.5M-850%
Q4 2025-$95.7M-217%
Q3 2025-$58M-195%
Q2 2025-$1.1M-102%
Q1 2025$51.1M+111%
Q4 2024$81.7M+$106M

COHR has the edge over ORCL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ORCL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.4B-$5B
Q2 2026-$1.9B+$1.1B
Q1 2026-$11.5B-16275%
Q4 2025-$10B-$7.3B
Q3 2025-$362M-107%
Q2 2025-$2.9B-189%
Q1 2025$71M-98%
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$1.7B

ORCL has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$28.7B over the past year, against −$5.9B the year before.

COHR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 155MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 193MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 155MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 193MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+6.6M shares
1 year+5.9%+11.3M shares
3 years+34%+51.7M shares
5 years+74%+86.2M shares
Available history+122%+111M shares

COHR has 202M diluted shares, up 5.9% from a year ago.

ORCL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3%+86M shares
1 year+3.1%+91M shares
3 years+6.3%+177M shares
5 years+4.9%+139M shares
Available history-9.9%-331M shares

ORCL has the edge over COHR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COHR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 4.8xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 4.8xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20258.1xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

COHR's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.1 years a year ago.

ORCL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

ORCL has the edge over COHR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

COHR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic16.5Oversold

COHR's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ORCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

ORCL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

COHR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCOHRSector medianRelative
PE48x28x72% above
PE %583523 pts above

COHR is trading at 48x earnings, a 72% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ORCL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricORCLSector medianRelative
PE20x28x28% below
PE %28357 pts below

ORCL has the edge over COHR on valuation relative to its sector.

COHR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$252.98.2% below
20 week MA$284.118% below
50 week MA$277.716% below
100 week MA$185.925% above
200 week MA$120.692% above

COHR has the edge over ORCL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ORCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.13.1% below
20 week MA$137.67.7% below
50 week MA$160.321% below
100 week MA$181.430% below
200 week MA$151.916% below

ORCL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

COHR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$77.8+132%
2021$77.8$68.0-13%
2022$68.0$33.1-51%
2023$33.1$43.5+32%
2024$43.5$97.0+123%
2025$97.0$191.7+98%
2026 YTD$191.7$232.1+21%

COHR has the edge over ORCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ORCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.5$65.0+22%
2021$65.0$89.7+38%
2022$89.7$80.9-9.9%
2023$80.9$105.4+30%
2024$105.4$169.0+60%
2025$169.0$198.0+17%
2026 YTD$198.0$127.1-36%

ORCL is down 36% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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