COHR

Coherent, Inc.

70
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

COHR has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

COHR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Healthy

COHR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

COHR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE87x174x261x348x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE87x174x261x348x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$232—
Cheap27x$130-44%
Fair34x$165-29%
Current48x$232—
Expensive184x$886+282%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COHR's PE is in its fair range at 48x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

COHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for COHR, with profitability improving.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

COHR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+138%$551.66
Downside-19%$187.45

Calculated from the latest close: $232.08 on Nov 12.

COHR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails COHR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

COHR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.82Q1 2024: $-2.87Q2 2024: $-1.84Q3 2024: $-1.23Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $0.71Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.83Forward: $11.69
Q4 2023: $-2.82Q1 2024: $-2.87Q2 2024: $-1.84Q3 2024: $-1.23Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $0.71Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.83Forward: $11.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.69+142%
Q3 2026$4.83+580%
Q2 2026$4.12+$4.64
Q1 2026$2.11+$2.34
Q4 2025$1.03+$1.44
Q3 2025$0.71+$1.94
Q2 2025-$0.52+$1.32
Q1 2025-$0.23+$2.64
Q4 2024-$0.41+$2.41

COHR has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

COHR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+50%
Q2 2026$2B+34%
Q1 2026$1.8B+21%
Q4 2025$1.7B+17%
Q3 2025$1.6B+17%
Q2 2025$1.5B+16%
Q1 2025$1.5B+24%
Q4 2024$1.4B+27%

COHR has the edge over NIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

COHR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: −$96MQ1 2026: −$383MQ2 2026: −$486MQ3 2026: −$868M
Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: −$96MQ1 2026: −$383MQ2 2026: −$486MQ3 2026: −$868M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$868.2M-$810.2M
Q2 2026-$486.2M-$485.2M
Q1 2026-$383.5M-850%
Q4 2025-$95.7M-217%
Q3 2025-$58M-195%
Q2 2025-$1.1M-102%
Q1 2025$51.1M+111%
Q4 2024$81.7M+$106M

COHR's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$1.8B over the past year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over COHR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COHR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 155MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 193MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 155MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 193MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+6.6M shares
1 year+5.9%+11.3M shares
3 years+34%+51.7M shares
5 years+74%+86.2M shares
Available history+122%+111M shares

COHR has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

COHR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 4.8xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 4.8xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20258.1xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

COHR's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.1 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

COHR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic16.5Oversold

COHR's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

COHR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCOHRSector medianRelative
PE48x28x72% above
PE %583523 pts above

COHR is trading at 48x earnings, a 72% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

COHR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$252.98.2% below
20 week MA$284.118% below
50 week MA$277.716% below
100 week MA$185.925% above
200 week MA$120.692% above

COHR has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

COHR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$77.8+132%
2021$77.8$68.0-13%
2022$68.0$33.1-51%
2023$33.1$43.5+32%
2024$43.5$97.0+123%
2025$97.0$191.7+98%
2026 YTD$191.7$232.1+21%

COHR has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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