COHR

Coherent, Inc.

70
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

COHR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over COHR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

COHR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Healthy

COHR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

COHR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE87x174x261x348x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE87x174x261x348x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$232—
Cheap27x$130-44%
Fair34x$165-29%
Current48x$232—
Expensive184x$886+282%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COHR has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

COHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for COHR, with profitability improving.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

COHR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+138%$551.66
Downside-19%$187.45

Calculated from the latest close: $232.08 on Nov 12.

COHR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LLY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY trails COHR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

COHR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.82Q1 2024: $-2.87Q2 2024: $-1.84Q3 2024: $-1.23Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $0.71Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.83Forward: $11.69
Q4 2023: $-2.82Q1 2024: $-2.87Q2 2024: $-1.84Q3 2024: $-1.23Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $0.71Q4 2025: $1.03Q1 2026: $2.11Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.83Forward: $11.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.69+142%
Q3 2026$4.83+580%
Q2 2026$4.12+$4.64
Q1 2026$2.11+$2.34
Q4 2025$1.03+$1.44
Q3 2025$0.71+$1.94
Q2 2025-$0.52+$1.32
Q1 2025-$0.23+$2.64
Q4 2024-$0.41+$2.41

COHR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.83 over the past year, about seven times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $30.81 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

COHR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B+50%
Q2 2026$2B+34%
Q1 2026$1.8B+21%
Q4 2025$1.7B+17%
Q3 2025$1.6B+17%
Q2 2025$1.5B+16%
Q1 2025$1.5B+24%
Q4 2024$1.4B+27%

COHR's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $2.4B last quarter, up 50% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over COHR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

COHR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: −$96MQ1 2026: −$383MQ2 2026: −$486MQ3 2026: −$868M
Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: −$96MQ1 2026: −$383MQ2 2026: −$486MQ3 2026: −$868M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$868.2M-$810.2M
Q2 2026-$486.2M-$485.2M
Q1 2026-$383.5M-850%
Q4 2025-$95.7M-217%
Q3 2025-$58M-195%
Q2 2025-$1.1M-102%
Q1 2025$51.1M+111%
Q4 2024$81.7M+$106M

COHR's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$1.8B over the past year.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over COHR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

COHR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 155MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 193MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 152MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 155MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 193MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+6.6M shares
1 year+5.9%+11.3M shares
3 years+34%+51.7M shares
5 years+74%+86.2M shares
Available history+122%+111M shares

COHR has 202M diluted shares, up 5.9% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over COHR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COHR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 4.8xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 6.6xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 4.8xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20258.1xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

COHR's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.1 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over COHR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

COHR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic16.5Oversold

COHR's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

COHR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCOHRSector medianRelative
PE48x28x72% above
PE %583523 pts above

COHR has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

COHR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$252.98.2% below
20 week MA$284.118% below
50 week MA$277.716% below
100 week MA$185.925% above
200 week MA$120.692% above

COHR has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 92% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over COHR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COHR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$77.8+132%
2021$77.8$68.0-13%
2022$68.0$33.1-51%
2023$33.1$43.5+32%
2024$43.5$97.0+123%
2025$97.0$191.7+98%
2026 YTD$191.7$232.1+21%

COHR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +132% in 2020 to −51% in 2022. It's up 21% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over COHR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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