CNXN

PC Connection, Inc.

61
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CNXN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over CNXN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CNXN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

CNXN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CNXN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$58.21-30%
Forward17x$83.16—
Fair19x$76.99-7.4%
Current21x$83.16—
Expensive22x$87.28+5%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CNXN's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over CNXN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CNXN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CNXN has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

CNXN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$107.98
Downside-11%$73.79

Calculated from the latest close: $83.16 on Nov 12.

CNXN trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CNXN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CNXN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.15Q1 2024: $3.11Q2 2024: $3.35Q3 2024: $3.40Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.28Q3 2025: $3.23Q4 2025: $3.27Q1 2026: $3.44Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.05Forward: $4.76
Q4 2023: $3.15Q1 2024: $3.11Q2 2024: $3.35Q3 2024: $3.40Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.28Q3 2025: $3.23Q4 2025: $3.27Q1 2026: $3.44Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.05Forward: $4.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.76+18%
Q3 2026$4.05+25%
Q2 2026$3.78+15%
Q1 2026$3.44+4.2%
Q4 2025$3.27-0.6%
Q3 2025$3.23-5%
Q2 2025$3.28-2.1%
Q1 2025$3.30+6.1%
Q4 2024$3.29+4.4%

CNXN earned $4.05 per share over the past year, up 25% from the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over CNXN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNXN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $696MQ1 2024: $632MQ2 2024: $736MQ3 2024: $725MQ4 2024: $709MQ1 2025: $701MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $709MQ4 2025: $703MQ1 2026: $722MQ2 2026: $854MQ3 2026: $874M
Q4 2023: $696MQ1 2024: $632MQ2 2024: $736MQ3 2024: $725MQ4 2024: $709MQ1 2025: $701MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $709MQ4 2025: $703MQ1 2026: $722MQ2 2026: $854MQ3 2026: $874M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$874.3M+23%
Q2 2026$854M+12%
Q1 2026$721.9M+3%
Q4 2025$702.9M-0.8%
Q3 2025$709.1M-2.2%
Q2 2025$759.7M+3.2%
Q1 2025$701M+11%
Q4 2024$708.9M+1.8%

CNXN's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $874M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over CNXN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNXN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: −$54MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$66MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: −$54MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$66MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.6M-88%
Q2 2026-$65.7M-367%
Q1 2026$12.3M+$66.4M
Q4 2025$25.2M-0.1%
Q3 2025$62.3M+22%
Q2 2025$24.6M-33%
Q1 2025-$54.1M-197%
Q4 2024$25.2M+105%

CNXN's free cash flow was −$21M over the past year, against $58M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over CNXN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CNXN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+102K shares
1 year-0.2%-48K shares
3 years-3.8%-993K shares
5 years-3.5%-927K shares
Available history-4.1%-1.1M shares

CNXN has 25M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over CNXN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CNXN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.3xNet Cash

CNXN has more cash than debt.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

CNXN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

CNXN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

CNXN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCNXNSector medianRelative
PE21x28x26% below
PE %713536 pts above

CNXN has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CNXN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$87.75.2% below
20 week MA$83.70.7% below
50 week MA$71.217% above
100 week MA$67.723% above
200 week MA$63.431% above

CNXN has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

CNXN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.0$44.3-13%
2021$44.3$44.1-0.3%
2022$44.1$47.7+8.1%
2023$47.7$67.2+41%
2024$67.2$69.5+3.4%
2025$69.5$59.7-14%
2026 YTD$59.7$83.2+39%

CNXN has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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