CNXN

PC Connection, Inc.

61
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CNXN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over CNXN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CNXN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

CNXN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CNXN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$58.21-30%
Forward17x$83.16—
Fair19x$76.99-7.4%
Current21x$83.16—
Expensive22x$87.28+5%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CNXN's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over CNXN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CNXN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CNXN has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

CNXN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$107.98
Downside-11%$73.79

Calculated from the latest close: $83.16 on Nov 12.

CNXN trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CNXN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CNXN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.15Q1 2024: $3.11Q2 2024: $3.35Q3 2024: $3.40Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.28Q3 2025: $3.23Q4 2025: $3.27Q1 2026: $3.44Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.05Forward: $4.76
Q4 2023: $3.15Q1 2024: $3.11Q2 2024: $3.35Q3 2024: $3.40Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.28Q3 2025: $3.23Q4 2025: $3.27Q1 2026: $3.44Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.05Forward: $4.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.76+18%
Q3 2026$4.05+25%
Q2 2026$3.78+15%
Q1 2026$3.44+4.2%
Q4 2025$3.27-0.6%
Q3 2025$3.23-5%
Q2 2025$3.28-2.1%
Q1 2025$3.30+6.1%
Q4 2024$3.29+4.4%

CNXN earned $4.05 per share over the past year, up 25% from the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over CNXN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNXN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $696MQ1 2024: $632MQ2 2024: $736MQ3 2024: $725MQ4 2024: $709MQ1 2025: $701MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $709MQ4 2025: $703MQ1 2026: $722MQ2 2026: $854MQ3 2026: $874M
Q4 2023: $696MQ1 2024: $632MQ2 2024: $736MQ3 2024: $725MQ4 2024: $709MQ1 2025: $701MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $709MQ4 2025: $703MQ1 2026: $722MQ2 2026: $854MQ3 2026: $874M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$874.3M+23%
Q2 2026$854M+12%
Q1 2026$721.9M+3%
Q4 2025$702.9M-0.8%
Q3 2025$709.1M-2.2%
Q2 2025$759.7M+3.2%
Q1 2025$701M+11%
Q4 2024$708.9M+1.8%

CNXN's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $874M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over CNXN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNXN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: −$54MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$66MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: −$54MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$66MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.6M-88%
Q2 2026-$65.7M-367%
Q1 2026$12.3M+$66.4M
Q4 2025$25.2M-0.1%
Q3 2025$62.3M+22%
Q2 2025$24.6M-33%
Q1 2025-$54.1M-197%
Q4 2024$25.2M+105%

CNXN's free cash flow was −$21M over the past year, against $58M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over CNXN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CNXN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+102K shares
1 year-0.2%-48K shares
3 years-3.8%-993K shares
5 years-3.5%-927K shares
Available history-4.1%-1.1M shares

CNXN has 25M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over CNXN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CNXN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.3xNet Cash

CNXN has more cash than debt.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CNXN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

CNXN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

CNXN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCNXNSector medianRelative
PE21x28x26% below
PE %713536 pts above

CNXN has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CNXN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$87.75.2% below
20 week MA$83.70.7% below
50 week MA$71.217% above
100 week MA$67.723% above
200 week MA$63.431% above

CNXN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 31% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over CNXN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CNXN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.0$44.3-13%
2021$44.3$44.1-0.3%
2022$44.1$47.7+8.1%
2023$47.7$67.2+41%
2024$67.2$69.5+3.4%
2025$69.5$59.7-14%
2026 YTD$59.7$83.2+39%

CNXN has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key