CNXN

PC Connection, Inc.

61
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CNXN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over CNXN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

CNXN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

CNXN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

CNXN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$58.21-30%
Forward17x$83.16—
Fair19x$76.99-7.4%
Current21x$83.16—
Expensive22x$87.28+5%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CNXN's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CNXN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CNXN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CNXN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$107.98
Downside-11%$73.79

Calculated from the latest close: $83.16 on Nov 12.

CNXN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails CNXN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CNXN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.15Q1 2024: $3.11Q2 2024: $3.35Q3 2024: $3.40Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.28Q3 2025: $3.23Q4 2025: $3.27Q1 2026: $3.44Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.05Forward: $4.76
Q4 2023: $3.15Q1 2024: $3.11Q2 2024: $3.35Q3 2024: $3.40Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.28Q3 2025: $3.23Q4 2025: $3.27Q1 2026: $3.44Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.05Forward: $4.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.76+18%
Q3 2026$4.05+25%
Q2 2026$3.78+15%
Q1 2026$3.44+4.2%
Q4 2025$3.27-0.6%
Q3 2025$3.23-5%
Q2 2025$3.28-2.1%
Q1 2025$3.30+6.1%
Q4 2024$3.29+4.4%

CNXN has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CNXN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $696MQ1 2024: $632MQ2 2024: $736MQ3 2024: $725MQ4 2024: $709MQ1 2025: $701MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $709MQ4 2025: $703MQ1 2026: $722MQ2 2026: $854MQ3 2026: $874M
Q4 2023: $696MQ1 2024: $632MQ2 2024: $736MQ3 2024: $725MQ4 2024: $709MQ1 2025: $701MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $709MQ4 2025: $703MQ1 2026: $722MQ2 2026: $854MQ3 2026: $874M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$874.3M+23%
Q2 2026$854M+12%
Q1 2026$721.9M+3%
Q4 2025$702.9M-0.8%
Q3 2025$709.1M-2.2%
Q2 2025$759.7M+3.2%
Q1 2025$701M+11%
Q4 2024$708.9M+1.8%

CNXN has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

CNXN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: −$54MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$66MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: −$54MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$66MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.6M-88%
Q2 2026-$65.7M-367%
Q1 2026$12.3M+$66.4M
Q4 2025$25.2M-0.1%
Q3 2025$62.3M+22%
Q2 2025$24.6M-33%
Q1 2025-$54.1M-197%
Q4 2024$25.2M+105%

CNXN's free cash flow was −$21M over the past year, against $58M the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over CNXN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CNXN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 25MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+102K shares
1 year-0.2%-48K shares
3 years-3.8%-993K shares
5 years-3.5%-927K shares
Available history-4.1%-1.1M shares

CNXN has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

CNXN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.3xNet Cash

CNXN has more cash than debt.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

CNXN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.2Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

CNXN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

CNXN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCNXNSector medianRelative
PE21x28x26% below
PE %713536 pts above

CNXN is trading at 21x earnings, a 26% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CNXN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$87.75.2% below
20 week MA$83.70.7% below
50 week MA$71.217% above
100 week MA$67.723% above
200 week MA$63.431% above

CNXN has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

CNXN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.0$44.3-13%
2021$44.3$44.1-0.3%
2022$44.1$47.7+8.1%
2023$47.7$67.2+41%
2024$67.2$69.5+3.4%
2025$69.5$59.7-14%
2026 YTD$59.7$83.2+39%

CNXN is up 39% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over CNXN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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