CNQ

Canadian Natural Resources Limited

70
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CNQ's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 7 points to 32% and it turned 19% of its revenue into free cash flow. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

CNQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CNQ's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CNQ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE443x887x1330x1774x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE443x887x1330x1774x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.73-33%
Current12x$49.11—
Fair13x$49.61+1%
Expensive15x$59.18+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CNQ's PE is 12x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CNQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CNQ, with profitability improving.

CNQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$62.57
Downside-21%$38.75

Calculated from the latest close: $49.11 on Nov 12.

CNQ's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +27% against −21%.

CNQ Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.29Q4 2023: $2.66Q1 2024: $2.41Q2 2024: $2.50Q3 2024: $2.49Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.51Q2 2025: $2.77Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $3.63Q1 2026: $3.26Q2 2026: $3.95
Q3 2023: $2.29Q4 2023: $2.66Q1 2024: $2.41Q2 2024: $2.50Q3 2024: $2.49Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.51Q2 2025: $2.77Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $3.63Q1 2026: $3.26Q2 2026: $3.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.95+43%
Q1 2026$3.26+30%
Q4 2025$3.63+81%
Q3 2025$2.23-10%
Q2 2025$2.77+11%
Q1 2025$2.51+4.1%
Q4 2024$2.01-24%
Q3 2024$2.49+8.7%

CNQ earned $3.95 per share over the past year, up 43% from the year before.

CNQ Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.3BQ4 2023: $7.5BQ1 2024: $6.6BQ2 2024: $7.5BQ3 2024: $7.3BQ4 2024: $7.8BQ1 2025: $8.9BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $7.6BQ2 2026: $12.1B
Q3 2023: $8.3BQ4 2023: $7.5BQ1 2024: $6.6BQ2 2024: $7.5BQ3 2024: $7.3BQ4 2024: $7.8BQ1 2025: $8.9BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $7.6BQ2 2026: $12.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$12.1B+78%
Q1 2026$7.6B-15%
Q4 2025$7.5B-3.2%
Q3 2025$6.7B-8.5%
Q2 2025$6.8B-8.9%
Q1 2025$8.9B+35%
Q4 2024$7.8B+3.6%
Q3 2024$7.3B-12%

CNQ's revenue is growing: $12.1B last quarter, up 78% from the same quarter a year ago.

CNQ Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $1.7BQ4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $601MQ2 2026: $3.1B
Q3 2023: $1.7BQ4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $601MQ2 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$3.1B+268%
Q1 2026$601.5M-71%
Q4 2025$1.6B+8.4%
Q3 2025$1.3B+9.9%
Q2 2025$842.9M-51%
Q1 2025$2.1B+64%
Q4 2024$1.5B-44%
Q3 2024$1.2B-31%

CNQ generated $6.6B in free cash flow over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

CNQ Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.2BQ4 2023: 2.2BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.1BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1B
Q3 2023: 2.2BQ4 2023: 2.2BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.1BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-6.3M shares
1 year-0.5%-9.8M shares
3 years-5.5%-121M shares
5 years-12%-281M shares
Available history-12%-281M shares

CNQ has 2.1B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CNQ Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6x
Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.3xHealthy
Q3 20240.6xVery low

CNQ's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CNQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.0Neutral
Stochastic53.5Neutral

CNQ's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

CNQ PE vs Energy Sector

MetricCNQSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.3% below
PE %476114 pts below

CNQ is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Energy sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

CNQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$51.03.7% below
20 week MA$48.61.1% above
50 week MA$44.510% above
100 week MA$37.730% above
200 week MA$35.140% above

CNQ's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 40% above its 200-week average.

CNQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.0$12.0-25%
2021$12.0$20.3+69%
2022$20.3$27.9+38%
2023$27.9$32.8+17%
2024$32.8$30.2-7.9%
2025$30.2$32.8+8.7%
2026 YTD$32.8$49.1+50%

CNQ has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 50% so far in 2026.

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