CNOB

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.

63
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CNOB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over CNOB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

CNOB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

CNOB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CNOB.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

CNOB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.8x$22.45-32%
Forward9.3x$32.78—
Fair10x$29.90-8.8%
Current11x$32.78—
Expensive15x$41.53+27%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CNOB's PE is 11x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over CNOB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CNOB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CNOB, with profitability improving.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

CNOB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$37.97
Downside-13%$28.42

Calculated from the latest close: $32.78 on Nov 12.

CNOB trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CNOB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CNOB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $1.89Q2 2024: $1.84Q3 2024: $1.74Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.85Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $1.24Q4 2025: $1.50Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $3.05Q3 2026: $2.86Forward: $3.51
Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $1.89Q2 2024: $1.84Q3 2024: $1.74Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.85Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $1.24Q4 2025: $1.50Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $3.05Q3 2026: $2.86Forward: $3.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.51+23%
Q3 2026$2.86+131%
Q2 2026$3.05+251%
Q1 2026$1.73-6.5%
Q4 2025$1.50-15%
Q3 2025$1.24-29%
Q2 2025$0.87-53%
Q1 2025$1.85-2.1%
Q4 2024$1.77-14%

CNOB earned $2.86 per share over the past year, up 131% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over CNOB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNOB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: $116MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: $116MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$102.8M-15%
Q2 2026$121.6M+45%
Q1 2026$115.6M+65%
Q4 2025$112.6M+65%
Q3 2025$121.4M+85%
Q2 2025$84.1M+28%
Q1 2025$70.2M+9.4%
Q4 2024$68.5M+3.7%

CNOB's revenue is growing: $103M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over CNOB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNOB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$84.9M+150%
Q2 2026$33.7M+427%
Q1 2026$14M-4.1%
Q4 2025$46.1M+54%
Q3 2025$33.9M+$49.5M
Q2 2025$6.4M-71%
Q1 2025$14.6M-28%
Q4 2024$30M+21%

CNOB has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

CNOB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+52K shares
1 year0%-6K shares
3 years+30%+11.6M shares
5 years+27%+10.6M shares
Available history+27%+10.8M shares

CNOB has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

CNOB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.6xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 7.9xQ3 2025: 5.1xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 4.3x
Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.6xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 7.9xQ3 2025: 5.1xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20264.4xHigh
Q4 20255.7xHigh
Q3 20255.1xHigh
Q2 20257.9xHigh
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20244.0xElevated

CNOB's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CNOB.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over CNOB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CNOB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic65.4Neutral

CNOB's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

CNOB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCNOBSector medianRelative
PE11x13x12% below
PE %62631 pt below

CNOB has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CNOB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.54% above
20 week MA$32.12.2% above
50 week MA$29.810% above
100 week MA$26.922% above
200 week MA$23.738% above

CNOB has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

CNOB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.6$19.6-24%
2021$19.6$32.1+64%
2022$32.1$24.3-24%
2023$24.3$22.9-5.9%
2024$22.9$22.7-1.1%
2025$22.7$26.9+19%
2026 YTD$26.9$32.8+22%

CNOB has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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