CNOB

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.

63
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CNOB has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CNOB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

CNOB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CNOB.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

CNOB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.8x$22.45-32%
Forward9.3x$32.78—
Fair10x$29.90-8.8%
Current11x$32.78—
Expensive15x$41.53+27%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CNOB's PE is 11x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over CNOB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CNOB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CNOB, with profitability improving.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CNOB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$37.97
Downside-13%$28.42

Calculated from the latest close: $32.78 on Nov 12.

CNOB trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CNOB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CNOB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $1.89Q2 2024: $1.84Q3 2024: $1.74Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.85Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $1.24Q4 2025: $1.50Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $3.05Q3 2026: $2.86Forward: $3.51
Q4 2023: $2.07Q1 2024: $1.89Q2 2024: $1.84Q3 2024: $1.74Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.85Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $1.24Q4 2025: $1.50Q1 2026: $1.73Q2 2026: $3.05Q3 2026: $2.86Forward: $3.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.51+23%
Q3 2026$2.86+131%
Q2 2026$3.05+251%
Q1 2026$1.73-6.5%
Q4 2025$1.50-15%
Q3 2025$1.24-29%
Q2 2025$0.87-53%
Q1 2025$1.85-2.1%
Q4 2024$1.77-14%

CNOB earned $2.86 per share over the past year, up 131% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over CNOB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNOB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: $116MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: $116MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$102.8M-15%
Q2 2026$121.6M+45%
Q1 2026$115.6M+65%
Q4 2025$112.6M+65%
Q3 2025$121.4M+85%
Q2 2025$84.1M+28%
Q1 2025$70.2M+9.4%
Q4 2024$68.5M+3.7%

CNOB's revenue is growing: $103M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over CNOB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNOB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: −$16MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$84.9M+150%
Q2 2026$33.7M+427%
Q1 2026$14M-4.1%
Q4 2025$46.1M+54%
Q3 2025$33.9M+$49.5M
Q2 2025$6.4M-71%
Q1 2025$14.6M-28%
Q4 2024$30M+21%

CNOB's free cash flow was $179M over the past year, up 111% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CNOB.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD's free cash flow was $3B over the past year, up 159% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

CNOB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+52K shares
1 year0%-6K shares
3 years+30%+11.6M shares
5 years+27%+10.6M shares
Available history+27%+10.8M shares

CNOB has 50M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over CNOB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CNOB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.6xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 7.9xQ3 2025: 5.1xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 4.3x
Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.6xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 7.9xQ3 2025: 5.1xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20264.4xHigh
Q4 20255.7xHigh
Q3 20255.1xHigh
Q2 20257.9xHigh
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20244.0xElevated

CNOB's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CNOB.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over CNOB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CNOB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic65.4Neutral

CNOB's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

CNOB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCNOBSector medianRelative
PE11x13x12% below
PE %62631 pt below

CNOB has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CNOB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.54% above
20 week MA$32.12.2% above
50 week MA$29.810% above
100 week MA$26.922% above
200 week MA$23.738% above

CNOB has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

CNOB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.6$19.6-24%
2021$19.6$32.1+64%
2022$32.1$24.3-24%
2023$24.3$22.9-5.9%
2024$22.9$22.7-1.1%
2025$22.7$26.9+19%
2026 YTD$26.9$32.8+22%

CNOB has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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