CNO

CNO Financial Group, Inc.

54
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

CNO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over CNO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CNO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

CNO's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CNO.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

CNO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.8x12x17x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$28.30-51%
Fair9.1x$39.72-31%
Forward11x$57.44—
Current13x$57.44—
Expensive15x$66.35+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CNO's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over CNO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CNO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CNO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

CNO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$72.72
Downside-9%$52.44

Calculated from the latest close: $57.44 on Nov 12.

CNO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails CNO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CNO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.41Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.85Q3 2024: $2.48Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $2.86Q2 2025: $2.71Q3 2025: $2.86Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.49Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $4.38Forward: $5.03
Q4 2023: $2.41Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.85Q3 2024: $2.48Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $2.86Q2 2025: $2.71Q3 2025: $2.86Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.49Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $4.38Forward: $5.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.03+15%
Q3 2026$4.38+53%
Q2 2026$2.91+7.4%
Q1 2026$2.49-13%
Q4 2025$2.23-40%
Q3 2025$2.86+15%
Q2 2025$2.71-30%
Q1 2025$2.86-17%
Q4 2024$3.74+55%

CNO earned $4.38 per share over the past year, up 53% from the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over CNO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-8.6%
Q2 2026$1.3B+12%
Q1 2026$1B+2.5%
Q4 2025$1.1B+4.2%
Q3 2025$1.2B+5.2%
Q2 2025$1.2B+8%
Q1 2025$1B-13%
Q4 2024$1.1B-6.3%

CNO's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.1B last quarter, down 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over CNO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $231MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $137MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $198MQ4 2025: $196MQ1 2026: $149MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $242M
Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $231MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $137MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $198MQ4 2025: $196MQ1 2026: $149MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $242M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$242M+22%
Q2 2026$156.6M+7.6%
Q1 2026$148.8M+8.9%
Q4 2025$195.7M+2.5%
Q3 2025$197.8M-14%
Q2 2025$145.5M+31%
Q1 2025$136.7M+45%
Q4 2024$191M+8.1%

CNO has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

CNO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 94M
Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-699K shares
1 year-4.4%-4.3M shares
3 years-18%-20.2M shares
5 years-27%-34.8M shares
Available history-40%-62.9M shares

CNO has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

CNO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.4xNet Cash

CNO has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

CNO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.3Neutral
Stochastic74.8Neutral

CNO's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

CNO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCNOSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.7% above
PE %72639 pts above

CNO has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CNO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.04.5% above
20 week MA$54.65.2% above
50 week MA$48.119% above
100 week MA$43.532% above
200 week MA$35.462% above

CNO has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

CNO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.2$22.8+25%
2021$22.8$24.0+5%
2022$24.0$22.9-4.6%
2023$22.9$27.9+22%
2024$27.9$37.3+34%
2025$37.3$43.3+16%
2026 YTD$43.3$57.4+33%

CNO has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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